BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED CLOSED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.27 %
Entry
81,636.72
Target
81,820.93 +0.23 %
closes in profit
Stop
81,416.00 −0.27 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,531 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,531 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, EMA Break Up, Trendline Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.2 % vs 32.3 % on average · stopped out 30.9 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 1,647 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
BTC/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 14%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.76
▲ EMA Break Up indicator 2.74
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.68
▲ SMA 50 Break Up indicator 2.67
▲ RSX Midline Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ MA Break Up indicator 1.54
▲ HT TRENDLINE Break Up indicator 1.50
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.28
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.28
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 1.26
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.20
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.16
▲ SUPERTREND Flip Bullish indicator 1.14
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.10

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signals on the 30M chart, with multiple breakouts and retreat-ups.
  • Higher timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend long within a larger downtrend.
  • Watch the resistance at 81770.01; a break above could extend the rally.
  • Support at 81416.00 is the key invalidation level for the bullish setup.
The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, EMA Break Up, MA Break Up, and multiple retreat-up patterns (DEMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE). This indicates strong upward momentum on the intraday timeframe, with price breaking above key moving averages and trendlines. The confluence of indicator, candlestick, and trendline signals at a 96% probability suggests a high-confidence long setup in the short term.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are bullish, the higher timeframes (1H through 1D) remain bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong bearish trend. This creates a conflict: the bullish signal is firing against the larger downtrend, which could limit upside or lead to a counter-trend rally. The nearest resistance at 81770.01 is a key level to watch; a break above could open the door for further gains, while failure to hold the support at 81416.00 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals across indicator, candlestick, and trendline groups.
  • ▲ Price breaking above key moving averages (EMA, MA) and trendlines on the 30M.
  • ▲ Bullish momentum on the 15M and 30M timeframes, supporting short-term upside.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (96%) indicate robust momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H-1D) are bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong downtrend—counter-trend rallies often fail.
  • ▼ The 30M trend is only rated 1/5 (choppy/sideways), suggesting the bullish move may lack follow-through.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 81416.00, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ Resistance at 81770.01 is nearby; failure to break it could lead to a reversal.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-17 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 81,770.01000 2026-10-17
R2 81,820.93000 2026-10-16
R3 82,940.81000 2026-10-16
S1 81,416.00000 2026-10-17
S2 80,809.25000 2026-10-16
S3 79,800.00000 2026-10-15

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