BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-17 09:00 UTC 46 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

81,660.78

Target

81,416.00 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

82,940.81 −1.57 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,531 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,531 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +4.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (3.42) ▼ Bearish 91 % (34.64)

model score 91.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.04
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.38
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.27
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.24
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute with high probability and multiple indicator confirmations.
Bearish trend aligns across most timeframes, especially strong on 4H, supporting the sell bias.
Watch the nearest support at 81,416.00; a break below could confirm the downtrend.
Choppy/sideways trends on some timeframes suggest caution—tight risk management is advised.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT signal is strongly bearish, with an 81% probability and strong strength, driven by a broad confluence of indicator-based sell signals. The BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit all point to a loss of buying momentum and a shift toward selling pressure. The KAMA Retreat Down and SMA 50 Retreat Down confirm that short-term moving averages are rolling over, while the HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up adds a nuance that may indicate a temporary counter-trend pulse within the larger downtrend. The candlestick group adds weight, though the specific pattern is not detailed.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 30 minutes up to the daily, with the strongest alignment on the 4-hour chart (very strong trend, 4/5) and forming trends on 2-hour and daily. The 15-minute and 8/12-hour trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting near-term noise but not contradicting the dominant bearish direction. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 81,820.93 and support at 81,416.00. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance could signal a failed sell setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator signals (BOP, CCI, DI, DM, WILLR) all firing in the same bearish direction.
▼ Strong bearish trend on the 4H timeframe (4/5) provides higher-timeframe confluence.
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down and KAMA Retreat Down confirm momentum loss.
▼ Resistance at 81,820.93 is nearby, offering a clear invalidation reference if price pushes above.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 15m, 8h, and 12h may indicate a ranging market rather than a clean downtrend.
▲ The HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up could signal a temporary bounce, conflicting with the sell signal.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 81,820.93, the bearish signal weakens and a false breakdown is possible.
▲ High probability (81%) still leaves room for error; always use proper position sizing.