ETH/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.22 %
Entry
2,422.28
Target
2,494.00 +2.96 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,393.48 −1.19 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,356 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,356 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
49.6 % ↓ −17.5 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 97 % (22.39) ▼ Bearish 3 % (0.60)
model score 37.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 32.5 % on average · stopped out 46.1 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 2,466 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ETH/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 38%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.95
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 1.51
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.49
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.41
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.40
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.38
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.10

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish momentum signals has fired on the 30M chart, suggesting an imminent bounce or short-term reversal attempt.
  • The broader trend across higher timeframes remains bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 2494.00; a break above could signal a stronger recovery, while a loss of support at 2393.48 would invalidate the bullish case.
  • The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability indicate high conviction among the indicators, but the bearish higher timeframe context demands caution.
The 30-minute chart for ETH/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreats (MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA) alongside HMA Direction Up and TTM TREND Trend Up. This confluence suggests that buying pressure is emerging after a pullback, with momentum indicators turning higher in unison. The signal strength is rated very strong with 100% probability, pointing to a short-term bounce or reversal attempt within the ongoing broader downtrend.

However, the higher timeframe picture remains firmly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts. The 30M trend itself is still classified as bearish and forming, meaning this bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2494.00, which aligns with the bearish structure, and support at 2393.48, which could act as a launchpad if the bounce continues. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend indicators (BOP, STOCH, SMA, HMA, TTM TREND) all turning up simultaneously.
  • ▲ The retreat-up signals (MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA) suggest price is bouncing off a recent low, with buyers stepping in.
  • ▲ The 30M timeframe is showing early signs of trend formation, which could be the beginning of a larger reversal if higher timeframes confirm.
  • ▲ Nearest support at 2393.48 has not been broken, providing a potential base for the bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant bearish trend on the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes could easily overwhelm this 30M bullish signal, leading to a failed bounce.
  • ▼ The 30M trend is still classified as bearish, so the signal may be premature if the broader downtrend resumes.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 2393.48, the bullish setup is invalidated and a continuation lower becomes likely.
  • ▼ Resistance at 2494.00 is a key barrier; failure to break it could see the bounce fizzle and price resume its decline.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 38%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-17 02:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,494.00000 2026-10-16
R2 2,530.44000 2026-10-14
R3 2,538.52000 2026-10-13
S1 2,393.48000 2026-10-16
S2 2,324.22000 2026-10-15
S3 2,318.00000 2026-10-15

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