SOL/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.16 %
Entry
104.52
Target
107.44 +2.79 %
closes in profit
Stop
102.49 −1.94 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,356 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,356 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: AROON Strong Uptrend, STOCH KD Cross Up, AROON Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
63.8 % ↑ +27.9 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 86 % (16.56) ▼ Bearish 14 % (2.70)
model score 86.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 32.5 % on average · stopped out 39.5 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 1,465 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 86%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.77
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.54
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.49
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.46
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.31
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.30
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.28
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.24
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.08

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term bullish signals are firing on the 30-minute chart, but the higher timeframes remain bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend bounce.
  • Key resistance at 107.44 is the immediate upside target; a break above could extend the move, but watch for rejection.
  • Support at 102.49 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
  • The signal strength is very strong, but the trend conflict across timeframes warrants caution and tight risk control.
The SOL/USDT 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including an AROON Cross Up, AROON Strong Uptrend, and an AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, indicating a fresh upward momentum shift on the short-term timeframe. This is reinforced by a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and DEMA Retreat Up, alongside MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, suggesting buying pressure is building. However, the broader trend structure remains predominantly bearish across higher timeframes, with the 8-hour chart showing a very strong downtrend and the 4-hour a solid one, while the 1-day is only trend forming. This creates a clear conflict: the bullish signals are firing against the larger downtrend, making this a counter-trend move that requires careful risk management.

Given the strong signal probability (87%) and very strong strength, the immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 107.44. A break above this level could open the door for further upside, but the bearish higher timeframes suggest that any rally may be limited. The nearest support at 102.49 is the key invalidation zone; a close below this level would negate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation on the 15-minute and 1-hour charts, which are currently choppy, to see if the move can sustain.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple Aroon signals (Cross Up, Strong Uptrend, and Oscillator Zero Cross Up) confirm fresh upward momentum on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up indicate buying pressure and bullish momentum alignment.
  • ▲ DEMA Retreat Up and MAMA PRICE Retreat Up suggest price is pulling back to dynamic support and resuming the uptrend.
  • ▲ The signal probability is high (87%) with very strong strength, indicating robust confluence of indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 4h) are in solid or very strong downtrends, which could cap any upside and lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ The 15-minute and 1-hour charts are choppy/sideways, lacking clear trend confirmation, which may result in false signals.
  • ▼ If price fails to break resistance at 107.44 and falls below support at 102.49, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • ▼ The DX Trend Weak signal suggests the trend strength is not robust, so the move could lack follow-through.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 86%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-17 01:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 107.44000 2026-10-16
R2 108.67000 2026-10-14
R3 109.07000 2026-10-13
S1 102.49000 2026-10-16
S2 100.91000 2026-10-15
S3 100.62000 2026-10-15

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