BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-10-18 02:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.21 %

Entry

81,746.65

Target

82,940.81 +1.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,416.00 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,531 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,531 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, Trendline Break Up, VIDYA Break Up +18 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↓ −3.3 vs previous candle

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 87 % (18.91) ▼ Bearish 13 % (2.93)

model score 86.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.2 % vs 32.3 % on average · stopped out 30.9 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 1,647 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.67
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.66
▲	VIDYA Break Up	indicator	2.63
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.58
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.22
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	1.98
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.27
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.24
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.24
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.23
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.20
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.20
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.15
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.10
▲	SUPERTREND Flip Bullish	indicator	1.02
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.01
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.69

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong short-term momentum shift on the 30M chart, but against a larger bearish trend.
Key levels are tight: resistance at 81,770, support at 81,416—watch for a breakout or invalidation.
Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, WILLR) confirm the bullish push.
This is a counter-trend trade; expect possible resistance overhead and manage risk accordingly.

The 30-minute BUY signal for BTC/USDT is firing with exceptional strength (90% probability, very strong) as a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators align: Trendline Break Up, CCI OB Exit, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry all point to a sudden shift in short-term momentum. The BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down and DEMA Retreat Up further suggest that price has pulled back from an upper band, setting up a potential re-acceleration. However, this signal is a counter-trend move against a dominant bearish structure: the 4-hour timeframe shows a very strong downtrend, and the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes are also bearish. The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are only just forming, so this is an early, high-probability bounce within a larger down move.

Traders should watch the immediate levels: resistance at 81,770 and support at 81,416. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish impulse and could extend the move, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. The alignment of multiple momentum indicators on the signal timeframe is compelling, but the higher timeframe trend is a significant headwind. This is a tactical long opportunity, not a trend reversal signal, and should be managed with tight risk controls.

Catalysts

▲ High probability (90%) and very strong signal strength indicate robust short-term momentum.
▲ Confluence of momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, WILLR) all firing in the same direction.
▲ Trendline break and retreat from upper band suggest a fresh upward impulse.
▲ Support at 81,416 is nearby, providing a clear invalidation level and potential springboard.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are bearish, with the 4H showing very strong downtrend—counter-trend moves often fade.
▼ The 15M and 30M trends are only 'forming' (2/5), meaning the new trend is not yet established.
▼ Resistance at 81,770 is close and could cap the bounce, especially if the broader downtrend resumes.
▼ If price falls below support at 81,416, the signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely continues.