BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-19 19:00 UTC 49 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

81,982.59

Target

83,158.00 +1.43 %

closes in profit

Stop

80,684.36 −1.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 9,954 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,954 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.12 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, SMA 200 Break Up, HMA Break Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (15.84) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 7.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.3 % vs 32.3 % on average · stopped out 46.1 % vs 22.0 % (crypto, 2,792 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 19:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.77
▲	SMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.68
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.36
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.45
▲	Three Outside Up	candlestick	1.45
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.37

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All 30-minute signals are bullish, but every higher timeframe remains bearish — treat this as a countertrend bounce until proven otherwise.
A cluster of breakout signals (SMA 200, ALMA, HMA) plus bullish candlesticks (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri, Three Outside Up) indicates strong short-term buying pressure.
The nearest resistance at 83158 is the critical hurdle; a close above it would shift the bias.
Support at 80684 is the invalidation zone — if it breaks, the bullish signals lose their meaning.

The 30-minute chart is firing an unusually dense cluster of bullish signals, with the SMA 200 break up, ALMA and HMA break ups, and the HT SINE zero cross up all pointing to a shift in short-term momentum. The candlestick patterns add weight: a Dragonfly Doji and a Takuri Line suggest buyers rejected lower prices, while the Three Outside Up confirms follow-through. The SMI signal cross up reinforces that selling pressure is fading.

However, the broader trend remains bearish across every higher timeframe, with the 4-hour chart showing the strongest bearish structure (trend score 3/5) while all others are either forming or choppy. This makes the 30-minute bullish cluster a potential countertrend bounce rather than a reversal. The key level to watch is the nearest resistance at 83158; a decisive break above it would signal a more durable shift. Support at 80684 is the immediate line in the sand — losing it would invalidate the bullish setup quickly.

Catalysts

▲ A dense confluence of eight bullish signals on the 30M timeframe indicates strong short-term momentum.
▲ Multiple moving-average breakouts (SMA 200, ALMA, HMA) suggest a clear shift in the short-term trend.
▲ Three bullish candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri, Three Outside Up) confirm buyer control in that window.
▲ The HT SINE zero cross up and SMI signal cross up add momentum and oscillator support.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend is overwhelmingly bearish across all timeframes, so this bounce could quickly fade.
▼ The 4H chart shows the strongest bearish trend (score 3/5), which may cap upside.
▼ If price fails to break 83158, the signal could fail and lead to a retest of support.
▼ A break below 80684 invalidates the setup and could accelerate selling.