EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-19 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %

Entry

177.190

Target

176.660 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.968 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, SMA Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down +16 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (5.85) ▼ Bearish 91 % (57.34)

model score 19.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.81
▼	SMA Break Down	indicator	2.80
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.53
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	2.51
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.72
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.52
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.07
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	0.91
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.91
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	0.70

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30-minute chart is flashing a very strong bearish signal with 95% probability, backed by a wide cluster of indicators.
All timeframes from 15 minutes to 1 day are bearish, though most are choppy or trend-forming—only the 12-hour frame shows a solid trend.
Watch the nearest support at 176.66000; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while reclaiming 177.96800 would invalidate it.
The 20/50 Death Cross and multiple moving-average retreats highlight a clear loss of upward momentum.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength. A dense cluster of indicators—AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, and a 20/50 Death Cross—confirms a sharp loss of upside momentum and a decisive shift toward lower prices. The alignment of multiple moving-average and momentum-based tools points to a broad-based bearish push rather than a single noisy reading.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though conviction varies. The 30-minute and 1-hour frames are choppy and sideways, suggesting the immediate trend is still consolidating, while the 12-hour frame shows a solid trend (3/5) that anchors the bearish case. The 15-minute and 8-hour frames are trend-forming, indicating the move is still developing. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 177.96800 and nearest support at 176.66000. A break below support would confirm sustained downside, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a potential reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Overwhelming confluence of momentum and trend indicators all pointing down.
▼ Uniform bearish bias across all timeframes, with the 12-hour frame showing a solid trend that supports the short-term move.
▼ Multiple moving-average crosses (EMA 20/50 Death Cross) and retreats reinforce the bearish narrative.
▼ High probability (95%) and very strong signal strength suggest high conviction in the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30-minute and 1-hour trends are choppy/sideways, which could mean the market is still ranging and prone to false breakouts.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 177.96800, the bearish signal would be invalidated and a reversal could follow.
▲ The 15-minute and 8-hour trends are only trend-forming, so momentum may not yet be fully established—watch for a stall.
▲ A bounce off support at 176.66000 could trap late sellers if the market consolidates sideways.