EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %
Entry
1.12216
Target
1.12696 +0.43 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11865 −0.31 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Up, DEMA Break Up, HMA Break Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↑ +4.4 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 95 % (23.45) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.35)
model score 30.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 18.8 % on average · stopped out 16.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 356 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 30%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HT TRENDLINE Break Up indicator 3.00
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 2.68
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.62
▲ EMA 200 Break Up indicator 2.58
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.89
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.43
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.39
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.38
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.35
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.34
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.33
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.31
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.31
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.19

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish crossovers and breakouts on the 30m chart signals strong upward momentum.
  • Immediate resistance is at 1.12347; a break above it confirms the bullish reversal.
  • Support at 1.11865 is the key level to watch—losing it invalidates the bullish signal.
  • Higher timeframes (daily, 12h) remain bearish, so this is a counter-trend bounce that may face selling pressure.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including CCI, CMO, RSI, and BIAS zero-line cross-ups, plus breakouts above the DEMA, EMA 200, and HT Trendline, and a SMA 200 retreat. The sheer number of indicators aligning suggests strong short-term upside momentum is building, and the price has broken above several key moving averages and a trendline. However, the signal is a counter-trend move against a firmly bearish daily trend (4/5) and a solid 12h trend (3/5), with only the 15m and 30m showing bullish bias (though choppy). The immediate resistance at 1.12347 is the first major hurdle; a decisive break above it would confirm the short-term reversal and open the path toward higher levels. Support at 1.11865 is the critical invalidation zone—if price falls back below this level, the bullish signals would be negated. Traders should watch for a close above resistance on the 30m to sustain the bounce, but remain cautious given the conflicting higher-timeframe bearish trends.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (CCI, CMO, RSI, BIAS) all crossing above their zero/midline levels, confirming momentum shift.
  • ▲ Price breaking above EMA 200, DEMA, HT Trendline, and SMA 200 hints at a broader trend change at the intraday level.
  • ▲ Strong signal probability (94%) and very strong strength rating based on the number of aligned technical triggers.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, and the daily trend is very strong (4/5), which could cap the bounce.
  • ▼ The 15m and 30m trends are labeled as 'choppy/sideways,' suggesting low trend quality despite bullish signals.
  • ▼ A drop back below the 1.11865 support level would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.
  • ▼ Resistance at 1.12347 is nearby and could act as a strong ceiling, especially if selling pressure from higher timeframes intensifies.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 30%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-19 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12347 2026-10-19
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
S1 1.11865 2026-10-19
S2 1.11806 2026-10-19
S3 1.11129 2026-10-14

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