EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
49 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.18 %
Entry
1.11964
Target
1.12696 +0.65 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11129 −0.75 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,934 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,934 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ULTOSC OS Exit, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), RSI OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +5.3 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 95 % (24.74) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.41)
model score 94.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 497 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.13
▲ ULTOSC OS Exit indicator 2.03
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.87
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.78
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 1.49
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.42
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.39
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.35
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.34
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term momentum is turning bullish after oversold conditions, but the larger trend remains bearish.
  • Watch the 1.12696 resistance: a break could extend the bounce, while failure keeps the bearish bias.
  • Support at 1.11883 is the key invalidation level for the bullish signal.
  • Mixed timeframes mean this is likely a counter-trend move, not a reversal.
The EUR/USD 30-minute signal is a BUY, driven by a cluster of momentum oscillators exiting oversold territory (RSI and Ultimate Oscillator) and a bullish cross in the BOP and HT Phasor. However, this short-term bullish impulse is set against a broader bearish backdrop, with the 1-day and 12-hour timeframes showing solid downtrends. The 30-minute EMA 20/50 Death Cross and Fisher Zero Cross Down indicate that the immediate trend has been bearish, and the current signals may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.12696 and support at 1.11883. A sustained move above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a break below support would invalidate the bounce. The mixed signals across timeframes—bullish on 2h/4h/8h but bearish on 15m/30m/1h and strongly bearish on higher timeframes—suggest caution. The ADX trend strength is moderate, so the move may lack momentum.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (RSI, ULTOSC) exiting oversold conditions suggest buying pressure.
  • ▲ BOP zero cross up and HT Phasor inphase cross up indicate improving bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Confluence of signals from indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups adds weight.
  • ▲ The 2h and 4h timeframes are bullish, providing some higher-timeframe support.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1-day and 12-hour timeframes are strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bounce.
  • ▼ The 30-minute EMA Death Cross and Fisher Zero Cross Down argue against a sustained uptrend.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 1.12696, the bounce may fizzle and resume the downtrend.
  • ▼ A break below 1.11883 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate selling.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-19 00:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12696 2026-10-16
S1 1.11883 2026-10-15
S2 1.11129 2026-10-14

Tags

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