USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-19 01:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

1.41201

Target

1.40955 +0.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41732 −0.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,934 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,934 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +24% Scalping

▲ Bullish 8 % (3.66) ▼ Bearish 92 % (42.07)

model score 92.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.64
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.22
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.09
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.04
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.93
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators confirming the downside move.
All lower timeframes (15m to 8h) are bearish, supporting the short-term sell signal.
Watch the 1.41732 resistance level; a break above invalidates the bearish setup.
Higher timeframes (12h and 1d) remain bullish, so this could be a pullback within a larger uptrend.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and confirmed by momentum and volatility indicators including BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OS Entry, and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up. The confluence of moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and the higher-timeframe trendline break underscores a strong short-term bearish impulse. All timeframes up to the 8-hour are bearish, with solid trend scores on the 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h, reinforcing the immediate downside bias. However, the 12-hour and daily charts remain bullish, suggesting this is a corrective move within a larger uptrend, which could limit the depth of the decline.

Key resistance is at 1.41732, which now serves as the invalidation level for the bearish setup; a break above would negate the signal. Nearest support is not defined, so traders should watch for potential support from prior swing lows or psychological levels. The very strong signal strength (92% probability) and the breadth of indicators pointing lower suggest the market is aligned for continued downside in the near term, but the conflicting higher-timeframe trend warrants caution and tight risk management.

Catalysts

▼ Trendline Break Down on the 30-minute chart, confirmed by a higher-timeframe trendline break.
▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) all pointing down, indicating strong momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and RSI OS Entry suggest selling pressure and potential for further downside.
▼ Consistent bearish trend scores across multiple timeframes (3/5 on 15m, 30m, 2h) reinforce the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 12-hour and daily charts are bullish (3/5), which could limit the downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ Nearest support is undefined, so the move could extend further than expected, but also means no clear target.
▲ If price breaks above the 1.41732 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated and a rally could ensue.
▲ RSI OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which might trigger a bounce or consolidation before further decline.