NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-19 00:30 UTC 47 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.56546

Target

0.55910 +1.12 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56750 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,934 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,934 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −20.4 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 33 % (7.34) ▼ Bearish 67 % (14.84)

model score 13.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 350 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	2.01
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.84
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.77
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.16
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.16
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.01
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.98
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term reversal lower.
The daily trend is strongly bearish, aligning with the sell signal despite higher timeframe bullishness.
Watch the 0.55910 support; a break could open the door to further downside.
Resistance at 0.56750 is the immediate upside hurdle; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Up, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down, alongside additional indicator and candlestick signals. While the immediate higher timeframes (15m to 8h) remain bullish but choppy or trend-forming, the daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), suggesting that the current bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart may be a pullback within a larger downtrend. The confluence of multiple retreat and cross signals indicates that the recent upward move is losing steam, and price could be poised to reverse lower. The nearest resistance at 0.56750 and support at 0.55910 are key levels to watch, with a break below support potentially accelerating the decline.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of many bearish signals (ADX, BOP, MACD, STOCH, STOCHRSI, DEMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) increases signal reliability.
▼ Daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), aligning with the sell direction.
▼ Price retreating from key moving averages (DEMA, KAMA) suggests momentum fading.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns add confirmation to the indicator-based signals.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 8h) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a bounce.
▲ The 30-minute trend is still bullish (1/5), so the sell signal may be counter-trend on that timeframe.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.56750, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The ADX trend is weak, indicating the current trend may lack strength, leading to choppy price action.