USD/CAD – 1H – SELL
SELL 4× UPDATED
9 hours ago
The plan for this signal
Running · now −0.01 %
Entry
1.40906
Target
1.40413 +0.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.42223 −0.93 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 9 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,038 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,038 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.38 %
37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 %
35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 %
12 % at stop avg −0.40 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Descending Triangle, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +22 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 %
↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100 % (46.53)
model score 16.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 10 candles
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(19 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 4× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on the 1H chart with multiple indicators aligned.
- Resistance at 1.42223 is the key invalidation level; watch for a break above.
- Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bullish, so the sell is counter-trend on those scales.
- No defined support means downside targets are unclear; manage risk accordingly.
The 1H USD/CAD signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength. A confluence of indicators confirms downside momentum: a Descending Triangle pattern, AROON strong downtrend, BOP zero cross down, MACD signal cross down, RSI oversold entry, STOCH KD cross down, Williams %R oversold entry, and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. This multi-signal alignment on the 1H timeframe suggests a high-conviction short-term move.
Trend alignment across timeframes is mostly supportive, with bearish trends from 15m through 4h, though the higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are bullish, which presents a potential conflict. The immediate resistance at 1.42223 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support is undefined, meaning there is no clear downside target, which increases uncertainty. Traders should monitor the higher timeframe trend and any signs of momentum fading.
Trend alignment across timeframes is mostly supportive, with bearish trends from 15m through 4h, though the higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are bullish, which presents a potential conflict. The immediate resistance at 1.42223 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support is undefined, meaning there is no clear downside target, which increases uncertainty. Traders should monitor the higher timeframe trend and any signs of momentum fading.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple indicators firing together (Descending Triangle, AROON, MACD, RSI, STOCH, WILLR, BBANDS) increases signal reliability.
- ▼ Bearish trend alignment across 15m to 4h supports the short-term move.
- ▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band indicates strong downside momentum.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability suggest high conviction.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 12H and 1D timeframes are bullish, which could pull the pair higher against the 1H bearish bias.
- ▲ RSI and Williams %R are in oversold territory, increasing the risk of a short-term bounce or reversal.
- ▲ No nearby support means the downside could be open-ended, but also that a bounce might occur without a clear target.
- ▲ A break above the 1.42223 resistance would invalidate the bearish pattern and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol
USD/CAD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
17%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-19 09:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.42223 | 2026-10-15 |
| R2 | 1.43000 | 2026-10-14 |