USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %
Entry
1.40967
Target
1.41732 +0.54 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40339 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 90 % (9.73) ▼ Bearish 10 % (1.09)
model score 9.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.8 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 417 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 9%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.93
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.90
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.60
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.39
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 1.36
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong cluster of oversold-exit and momentum indicators is firing on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
  • The signal is counter-trend: all timeframes from 15m to 4h are bearish, so expect resistance from the prevailing short-term downtrend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.41732; a break above it would confirm the bullish shift, while a drop to new lows would invalidate the setup.
  • Longer timeframes (12h, 1d) are bullish, offering some support for the reversal, but the immediate trend is against it.
The 30-minute USD/CAD chart has fired a cluster of eight oscillator-based signals, all pointing to a bullish reversal from oversold conditions. The BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, and RSX OS Entry all indicate that downside momentum has exhausted and buying pressure is emerging. This is reinforced by the STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, and ER Level Cross Down, which together suggest a shift in cyclical and trend dynamics. The ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit confirms that price has moved away from an extreme statistical deviation, supporting the idea that the sell-off has run its course.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 12-hour and 1-day timeframes are bullish, all shorter timeframes from 15 minutes to 4 hours remain bearish, with solid trend scores on the 15m through 2h. This means the bullish signal is firing against the prevailing short-term downtrend, making it a counter-trend play. The nearest resistance at 1.41732 is the immediate upside target, and a break above it would be needed to confirm a larger reversal. The absence of a defined support level means invalidation is less clear, but a failure to hold above recent lows would negate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold-exit indicators (CMO, WILLR, RSX) are converging, signaling exhausted downside momentum.
  • ▲ The ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicates price has moved away from an extreme deviation, often a precursor to a mean reversion.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bullish, providing a favorable backdrop for a reversal on the lower timeframe.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 15m to 4h timeframes are all bearish with solid trends, meaning the signal is counter-trend and could be a false reversal.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.41732 is close; if it holds, the bullish move may stall and reverse.
  • ▼ No defined support level makes invalidation ambiguous; a break below the recent lows would negate the signal.
  • ▼ The signal strength is very strong, but the lack of trend alignment across timeframes reduces conviction.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 9%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-19 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.41732 2026-10-16
R2 1.41990 2026-10-16
R3 1.42223 2026-10-15

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