USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-19 18:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

1.40887

Target

1.40643 +0.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41732 −0.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Down, MA Break Down, ALMA Break Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +19.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 14 % (4.20) ▼ Bearish 86 % (25.81)

model score 86.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.79
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.69
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.69
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.69
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	SMA Break Down	indicator	2.65
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.57
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.56
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.37
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.19
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.13
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum and trend-following indicators have flipped bearish simultaneously, signaling strong short-term selling pressure.
Bearish alignment across the 30m to 12h timeframes supports the sell signal, though the daily and 15m trends are still bullish.
Watch the 1.41732 resistance level; a break back above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 8-hour trend is still forming, so the bearish move may lack long-term confirmation yet.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below their zero lines and a cascade of breakdowns below key moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA) and the 50-period EMA retreat. This is reinforced by a break down of the higher-timeframe trendline, indicating that the short-term bearish momentum is aligning with the broader structure. The confluence of 15+ signals across candlestick and indicator groups suggests a strong, coordinated push lower rather than a single isolated event.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and solid (3/5) from the 30-minute through the 12-hour charts, with the 8-hour also turning bearish though still forming. This multi-timeframe alignment supports the continuation of the down move. However, the 15-minute and daily timeframes remain bullish, which introduces a conflicting higher-timeframe headwind. The nearest resistance sits at 1.41732, a level that could act as a pivot if price retraces. With no defined nearest support, downside targets are less clear, and the trade relies on momentum persistence.

Catalysts

▼ Dense signal cluster: over 15 indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, EMA, KAMA, MA) all firing bearish, indicating high conviction.
▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment from 30m to 12h, providing a solid trend foundation.
▼ Breakdown of the higher-timeframe trendline adds a structural element to the bearish case.
▼ Strong trend scores (3/5) across the relevant timeframes suggest momentum is not just a one-off spike.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting bullish trends on the 15-minute and daily timeframes could trigger a counter-trend bounce.
▲ No defined nearest support means the downside is open, but also that there is no clear target for profit-taking, increasing volatility risk.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.41732 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated and a reversal to the upside could follow.
▲ The 8-hour trend is only forming (2/5), so the longer-term bearish picture is not yet fully confirmed, which could lead to a pullback.