USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %
Entry
158.049
Target
158.949 +0.57 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.700 −0.22 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, DPO Zero Cross Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +30% Scalping
▲ Bullish 95 % (52.73) ▼ Bearish 5 % (2.75)
model score 15.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.8 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 503 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 16%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish indicator 2.64
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.90
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.87
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.78
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.67

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple momentum indicators fired bullish zero-cross signals on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong short-term buying pressure.
  • The broader trend is mixed and choppy, with weak trend scores across most timeframes, so the signal is best viewed as a short-term momentum event.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 158.34000 and support at 157.70000; a break above resistance could confirm bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
A cluster of momentum and oscillator indicators has fired bullish zero-cross signals on the USD/JPY 30-minute chart, including BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, and STOCHF KD, all crossing their midlines upward. This suggests a sudden shift in short-term buying pressure after a period of bearish or sideways movement. The confluence of multiple independent indicators crossing simultaneously points to a strong momentum burst rather than a single noisy signal.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 1-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day timeframes show bullish leanings, the 30-minute, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour timeframes remain bearish or choppy. The 4-hour timeframe shows a trend forming, but overall trend scores are weak (1/5) across most timeframes, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The signal is best treated as a short-term momentum event within a larger, indecisive market. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.34000 and support at 157.70000; a break above resistance could confirm bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ High confluence of bullish zero-cross signals from multiple independent indicators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, STOCHF KD) on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▲ The 1-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day timeframes show bullish leanings, providing some higher-timeframe alignment.
  • ▲ The 4-hour timeframe shows a trend forming, suggesting potential for longer-term direction to develop.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 30-minute, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour timeframes remain bearish, conflicting with the bullish signal.
  • ▼ Trend scores are weak (1/5) across most timeframes, indicating low conviction and potential for choppy, sideways movement.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.70000 would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • ▼ The signal is based solely on indicators; without confirmation from price action or news, it may fade quickly.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 16%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-19 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.34000 2026-10-16
R2 158.94900 2026-10-14
S1 157.70000 2026-10-19
S2 157.69400 2026-10-16
S3 157.54600 2026-10-15

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