AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
53 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %
Entry
0.98335
Target
0.98132 +0.21 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98590 −0.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 200 Break Down, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 22 % (5.61) ▼ Bearish 78 % (19.94)
model score 9.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.22
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▼ EMA 200 Break Down indicator 2.14
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 2.13
▲ AO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.91
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 1.57
▼ SMA 200 Break Down indicator 1.54
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 1.47
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.34
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.04
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 0.99
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 0.82
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 0.75

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong cluster of bearish indicators on the 30M signal a short-term sell bias for AUD/CAD.
  • The 200 EMA and SMA breaks are significant, but the immediate trend is still bullish—so treat this as a reversal attempt, not a confirmed trend change.
  • Watch the 0.98240 support: a break below would add confidence; a move back above 0.98497 would invalidate the bearish case.
  • Higher timeframes are broadly bearish but weak, so the sell signal has some tailwind but lacks strong momentum.
The 30-minute chart is firing a dense cluster of bearish signals on AUD/CAD, including a CCI OB Exit, an EMA 200 and SMA 200 break to the downside, a BBANDS UPPER retreat, and an STOCH KD cross down. Together these point to a short-term rejection from overbought levels and a break of major moving averages, suggesting sellers are gaining control on the trade timeframe. The higher timeframe trend provides mixed but cautious support: the 2H to daily frames are all bearish, though the trend strength is weak or only forming in most cases, so this is not a high-conviction macro downtrend yet. On the 30M itself, the trend is still labeled bullish but choppy, which highlights the conflict—the sell signal is firing against the immediate higher-low structure. The key levels are tight: nearest resistance at 0.98497 and nearest support at 0.98240. A decisive close below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would negate the setup. Given the high probability score (78%) and strong signal strength, the bias is bearish, but traders should wait for confirmation for a safer entry.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators align in the same direction: CCI OB exit, STOCH cross down, and BBANDS upper retreat all point to overbought conditions fading.
  • ▼ Both EMA 200 and SMA 200 have been broken to the downside, a classic bearish signal on the 30M.
  • ▼ DPO zero cross down and AO zero cross up add to the confluence, reinforcing the shift in momentum.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes from 2H to daily are bearish, providing a longer-term backdrop that supports the sell.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 30M and 1H trends are still bullish, albeit choppy, so the sell signal could be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
  • ▲ Momentum on higher timeframes is weak (trend scores of 1/5), so there is limited conviction behind the bearish macro tilt.
  • ▲ If the price reclaims the 0.98497 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated and could lead to a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Support at 0.98240 is close; a bounce there could stall the decline, especially if the 30M bullish structure holds.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 9%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-20 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98497 2026-10-20
R2 0.98512 2026-10-20
R3 0.98590 2026-10-19
S1 0.98240 2026-10-20
S2 0.98132 2026-10-19
S3 0.97907 2026-10-15

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