AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
110.546
Target
110.775 +0.21 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.628 −0.83 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: VIDYA Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, CTI OB Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping
▲ Bullish 92 % (19.17) ▼ Bearish 8 % (1.76)
model score 91.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 525 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 92%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ VIDYA Retreat Up indicator 2.10
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.07
▲ CTI OB Exit indicator 2.03
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.53
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.25
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.14
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 0.96

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful cluster of bullish indicators fired on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a strong short-term buying opportunity.
  • Higher timeframes are mixed, with 1h and 2h bullish but 8h and 12h bearish, so the signal may be a counter-trend move.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 110.77500 and support at 109.62800; a break above resistance confirms, a loss of support invalidates.
  • The signal is very strong, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, CTI OB Exit, ERI Bull Zero Cross Up, VIDYA Retreat Up, and a Bullish Engulfing candlestick. This confluence of momentum, volatility, and trend indicators suggests a strong, short-term buying impulse, with the signal registering 100% probability and very strong strength. However, the higher timeframes are mixed: the 1h and 2h charts show bullish trend formation, while the 15m, 30m, 8h, 12h, and 1d are bearish or choppy. This creates a conflicting picture, with the immediate bullish burst occurring against a backdrop of longer-term bearish pressure.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 110.77500 and support at 109.62800. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. Given the bearish higher timeframes, the signal may be a counter-trend rally, so traders should watch for momentum fading near resistance. The overall trend alignment is poor, with only the 1h and 2h timeframes supporting the bullish case, which increases the risk of a false breakout.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, EMA 200, CTI, ERI, VIDYA) all firing bullish simultaneously.
  • ▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern adds price-action confirmation to the indicator signals.
  • ▲ The 1h and 2h timeframes are forming a bullish trend, providing some alignment with the 30m signal.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability suggest high conviction in the immediate move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
  • ▼ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish and choppy, indicating a lack of momentum at the same level.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 110.77500, the signal may fade; a drop below support at 109.62800 would invalidate the bullish case.
  • ▼ The signal might be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend, so a quick reversal is possible.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 92%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-20 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.77500 2026-10-20
R2 110.79200 2026-10-19
R3 111.13300 2026-10-14
S1 109.62800 2026-10-16
S2 109.13600 2026-10-16
S3 108.63400 2026-10-15

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