EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %
Entry
177.317
Target
177.920 +0.34 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.923 −0.22 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, HMA Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping
▲ Bullish 94 % (17.73) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.04)
model score 6.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 639 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 7%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.12
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 2.07
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 2.03
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.85
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.84
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.68
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.04
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.96

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on the 30m chart, but it's a counter-trend bounce against a bearish higher-timeframe structure.
  • Key levels: resistance at 177.920, support at 176.923; watch for a break of either to confirm or invalidate.
  • Oversold exits (CCI, Williams %R) and phase alignment suggest a sharp snap-back, but momentum may not sustain.
  • Probability is high (94%) but that reflects the signal's internal consistency, not the higher-timeframe trend.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish (94% probability, very strong), firing a dense cluster of momentum, volatility, and phase-based indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Up, among others. This confluence suggests a sharp, broad-based reversal attempt off oversold conditions, with multiple independent frameworks (Bollinger Bands, Hilbert-Huang phase, stochastic, CCI, Williams %R) all pointing to a squeeze upward.

However, the higher-timeframe trend is uniformly bearish across all frames from 15m to 1d, with trend scores ranging from 1/5 to 3/5. The 30m signal itself is firing against that dominant downtrend, creating a classic counter-trend setup. The nearest resistance at 177.920 is a critical ceiling; a failure to break it would likely see the bounce fade back toward support at 176.923. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger bearish context, not a trend change.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (CCI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit) indicate a strong rebound from extreme lows.
  • ▲ Cross-up signals on BOP, STOCH KD, and HT PHASOR show alignment across momentum and phase-based tools.
  • ▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up suggests price is bouncing off the lower band, a classic mean-reversion trigger.
  • ▲ High signal density and very strong strength score increase confidence in the immediate move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ All higher timeframes (15m to 1d) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move; the dominant trend may resume.
  • ▼ Resistance at 177.920 is nearby; failure to break it would likely stall the bounce.
  • ▼ Trend scores on 1h–4h are weak (1/5), indicating choppy, sideways action that could whipsaw.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 176.923, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-20 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.92000 2026-10-20
R2 177.96800 2026-10-16
S1 176.92300 2026-10-19
S2 176.66000 2026-10-19

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