AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %
Entry
0.69907
Target
0.70132 +0.32 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69707 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, Trendline Break Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.7 % ↑ +20.4 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 71 % (27.08) ▼ Bearish 29 % (11.32)
model score 70.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 71%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Ascending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.86
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.79
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.16
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.14
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.11

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the 30-minute timeframe with multiple technical confirmations.
  • Bullish alignment across 1h to 8h timeframes supports the move, but the daily trend is bearish.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.69929 and support at 0.69707; watch for a break above resistance.
  • A drop below 0.69707 would invalidate the bullish setup.
The AUD/USD 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, backed by a dense cluster of technical events. The breakout of a trendline and an ascending triangle pattern on the 30-minute chart signals a potential bullish continuation, while the BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicate improving momentum and buying pressure. The EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and MA Retreat Up all point to a coordinated upward pull in price across multiple moving average systems, suggesting that the recent price action is being supported by a broad-based trend. The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, indicator, and candlestick signals on this timeframe reinforces the strength of the move.

Across higher timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from 30 minutes up to 8 hours, with the 1h, 2h, and 4h all showing trend formation, and the 8h choppy but bullish. However, the 15-minute and 12-hour timeframes are bearish, and the 1-day is bearish with a solid trend, which introduces a conflicting higher-timeframe perspective. This suggests that while the immediate momentum is strongly bullish, the longer-term daily trend remains bearish, and the current move may be a counter-trend rally. The nearest resistance at 0.69929 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it could open the path for further upside, while the nearest support at 0.69707 is the key invalidation zone. Traders should watch for a sustained close above resistance to confirm the bullish continuation, or a drop below support to invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up and Ascending Triangle breakout on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicate strengthening buying momentum.
  • ▲ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) all pointing up.
  • ▲ Consistent bullish trend scores across 1h to 8h timeframes.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe conflict: 12h and 1d are bearish, with the daily trend solidly bearish.
  • ▼ The 15-minute timeframe is bearish, suggesting possible short-term pullback.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.69929 may cap upside if not broken.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 0.69707, the bullish signal is invalidated.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 71%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-20 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.69929 2026-10-19
R2 0.70132 2026-10-14
S1 0.69707 2026-10-20
S2 0.69690 2026-10-19
S3 0.69363 2026-10-16

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