AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-20 18:00 UTC 53 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

0.70001

Target

0.69707 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70353 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 12 % (1.89) ▼ Bearish 88 % (13.29)

model score 8.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 433 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.96
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.89
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.39
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.23
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.21
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought indicators (CCI, BBANDS, ZSCORE) are turning down, signaling a loss of upside momentum.
The 30-minute signal is strongly bearish, but lower timeframes are still bullish, suggesting a pullback rather than a reversal.
Watch the 0.69707 support level—a break below likely confirms the sell signal; a hold above may lead to consolidation.
The daily trend is solidly bearish, adding weight to the short-term bearish signals.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, and HMA Break Down, all pointing to a loss of upside momentum. The confluence of these overbought exhaustion signals and a bearish zero-cross on the ERI suggests that the recent advance is stalling, and a pullback toward the nearest support at 0.69707 is probable. The broader context, however, is mixed: lower timeframes remain bullish (trend forming, strength 2/5), while higher timeframes—12h and 1d—are turning or already bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend. This suggests the bearish signals are likely a corrective move within a still-forming larger bullish bias, but the daily trend provides a strong counterweight.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.70132 and the nearest support at 0.69707. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could accelerate selling, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the immediate bearish case. The high signal probability (87%) and very strong strength indicate that the momentum shift is significant, but the mixed multi-timeframe trend means traders should watch for a close below support to validate the move. The signal time is 2026-10-20 20:00 UTC, but the analysis remains relevant until invalidated by price action.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of overbought exit signals (CCI, BBANDS, ZSCORE) and trend-reversal patterns (STOCH KD Cross Down, ERI Bear Zero Cross).
▼ Very strong signal strength (87% probability) and multiple indicator groups firing together.
▼ Higher timeframe daily trend is solidly bearish, providing a backdrop for downside moves.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 4h) are still bullish, and a resilient rally could push price back above resistance at 0.70132, invalidating the signal.
▲ The 30-minute trend is just forming (2/5), which means the bullish bias could reassert if price holds above support.
▲ If the nearest support at 0.69707 holds, the bearish move may be limited to a shallow correction, not a reversal.
▲ A close above the nearest resistance (0.70132) would negate the bearish setup and could trigger a squeeze higher.