EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
54 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %
Entry
1.12341
Target
1.12045 +0.26 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12696 −0.32 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, ZLMA Break Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +5.6 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (17.64)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.3 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 528 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.66
▼ ZLMA Break Down indicator 2.59
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.01
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 1.87
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.63
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.42
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.39
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.35
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.20

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple overbought exits and break-down signals on the 30m chart suggest a short-term bearish reversal.
  • The daily and 12h trends are strongly bearish, giving macro weight to the sell signal.
  • Watch the 1.12045 support: a break confirms the reversal; a bounce could invalidate it.
  • Signal strength is weakvolt, so confirmation from price action near resistance is key.
The EUR/USD 30-minute SELL signal combines multiple overbought exits and break-down triggers: CCI and Stochastic overbought exits, a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, HMA and ZLMA break downs, plus Hilbert Transform phase and sine crossovers pointing lower. While the immediate 15m and 30m trends are still listed as bullish (forming), the signal suggests a short-term reversal from overbought conditions, aligning with the broader bearish structure seen on 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes. The daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, providing the macro backdrop for this intraday sell signal.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 1.12353 and support at 1.12045. A break below support would confirm the bearish reversal and open the path toward lower targets in line with the higher timeframe downtrend. However, the signal's weak strength and the conflicting bullish bias on the lower timeframes call for caution; the sell signal should be considered valid only if price fails to reclaim the resistance zone and sustains below the broken moving averages.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Alignment of overbought exits (CCI, Stochastic) and price retreat from upper Bollinger Band.
  • ▼ Break downs of HMA and ZLMA add confluence to the bearish signal.
  • ▼ Strong bearish trends on 12h and 1d timeframes support the sell direction.
  • ▼ Hilbert Transform crossovers often precede momentum shifts, adding weight to the reversal thesis.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish; the signal may be early if the uptrend resumes.
  • ▲ Weak signal strength (63% probability) implies limited conviction; a pullback to resistance could negate the setup.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 1.12353 resistance, the bearish case weakens and a move higher could follow.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 1h and 4h could lead to false breakouts and whipsaw moves.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-20 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12353 2026-10-20
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
S1 1.12045 2026-10-20
S2 1.12026 2026-10-19
S3 1.11865 2026-10-19

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