NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-20 15:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.25 %

Entry

0.56824

Target

0.56532 +0.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.57122 −0.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, RSX Midline Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 35 % (3.20) ▼ Bearish 65 % (6.01)

model score 11.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 375 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.67
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.94
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators and candlestick patterns align on the 30m chart, but shorter timeframes are still bullish.
The daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, providing potential longer-term context for the SELL signal.
Watch the 0.56532 support: a break could confirm the bearish move, while a hold may invalidate it.
The signal is moderate in strength and probability, so confirmation from price action is advised.

The 30-minute SELL signal on NZD/USD is firing against a backdrop of mostly bullish shorter-term trends, but the 1-day timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend. This suggests the current bearish signal may be an early counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, or a short-term correction within the prevailing bullish momentum on lower timeframes. The confluence of multiple bearish indicators—ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, KDJ Cross Up, RSX Midline Cross Down, and two bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, High Wave Bearish)—adds weight to the signal, but the conflicting higher-timeframe alignment warrants caution.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56893 and support at 0.56532. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a hold above it could see the signal fade. The moderate strength and 65% probability suggest the signal is not overwhelmingly strong, and the bullish trend forming across 15m to 8h timeframes could cap downside moves. Traders should monitor whether the lower-timeframe trends start to turn bearish in alignment with the daily trend, which would increase confidence in the SELL direction.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of seven bearish signals across indicator and candlestick groups.
▼ Very strong bearish trend on the 1-day timeframe supports a larger downtrend.
▼ Nearest resistance at 0.56893 offers a clear level to defend a bearish bias.
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down and BOP Zero Cross Down indicate momentum shifting lower.

Risk Factors

▲ All lower timeframes (15m to 8h) are bullish with trend forming, which could counter the bearish signal.
▲ The signal is moderate strength and probability (65%), leaving room for failure.
▲ If price holds above the nearest support at 0.56532, the bearish move may lose traction.
▲ KDJ Cross Up is a bullish signal within the bearish set, adding mixed signals.