USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-20 21:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

158.173

Target

158.603 +0.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.700 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT SINE Cross Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (21.33) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 433 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.85
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.18
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 30M bullish signal (91%) but counter to the broader bearish trend across most timeframes.
Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, WILLR) and trend-following retreats align for a short-term bounce.
Key levels: support at 157.878, resistance at 158.603; watch for a breakout or breakdown.
Higher timeframes (1h-8h) are bearish, so the move is likely corrective, not a reversal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart is firing a very strong bullish signal (91% probability) with a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MA, MAMA PRICE). This suggests a short-term shift in momentum, with price likely bouncing off a support zone and attempting to reclaim higher ground. However, the broader context is less supportive: all timeframes from 15m to 8h are bearish, with only the 12h and 1d showing faint bullish leanings (choppy/sideways). The signal is therefore a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, and its success depends on whether the bounce can break through the nearest resistance at 158.603, which aligns with the bearish trend's overhead pressure.

Key levels to monitor: support at 157.878 (the immediate floor) and resistance at 158.603 (the immediate ceiling). A break above resistance would signal a potential trend shift, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish setup. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30M timeframe gives the signal high short-term confidence, but the lack of higher-timeframe alignment means the move is likely corrective rather than a full reversal. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a bearish context, with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple trend indicators (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MA, MAMA PRICE) all retreating up, showing strong short-term momentum.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up confirm a shift in buying pressure.
▲ WILLR OB Entry suggests oversold conditions are being resolved, supporting a bounce.
▲ Signal strength is very strong with high probability, indicating high confluence on the 30M timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1h-8h) are bearish, so the bullish signal may be a counter-trend move that fades.
▼ Resistance at 158.603 is nearby and could cap the bounce, especially if the bearish trend resumes.
▼ If price loses support at 157.878, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely continues.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on many timeframes suggest low momentum, which could lead to a false signal.