AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.54 %
Entry
0.98819
Target
0.99664 +0.86 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98114 −0.71 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 5%
conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.35
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.26
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.20
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.50
▲ STC OS Entry indicator 1.27
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 0.97
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.95
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on 1H with multiple indicator confirmations.
  • Bullish across 15m-4H, but higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bearish.
  • Watch the 0.99664 resistance as the immediate upside target.
  • A move below 0.98114 support would invalidate the bullish signal.
The AUD/CAD 1H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish momentum and trend-following indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and a cascade of moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) all pushing in the same direction. This confluence suggests a strong, broad-based shift in short-term momentum, with the 97% probability and 'very strong' strength reflecting unusually high agreement across independent indicator families (candlestick and indicator). The retreats imply price has pulled back to these dynamic levels and is now bouncing, which often marks a continuation or reversal point.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from 15m up to 4H, all showing trend-forming strength (2/5), but the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish and choppy. This creates a classic lower-timeframe countertrend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.99664 is the immediate hurdle; a break above would strengthen the bullish case, while the nearest support at 0.98114 is the key invalidation zone. The alignment of multiple retreats and the OB entry suggest the pullback has ended, but the higher timeframe bearish pressure means the rally could stall at resistance.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, and multiple moving-average retreats.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 15m-4H timeframes supports the move.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (97% probability) indicates high indicator agreement.
  • ▲ Retreat patterns suggest a bounce off dynamic support levels.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trend (8H-1D) could cap the rally.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.99664 may halt upward momentum.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways action on higher timeframes signals low conviction.
  • ▼ If price breaks below 0.98114, the bullish signal is invalidated.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99664 2026-10-14
R2 0.99693 2026-10-12
R3 0.99757 2026-10-09
S1 0.98114 2026-10-20
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

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