AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL
SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal
Closed after the holding time · result +0.18 %
Entry
0.98683
Target
0.98262 +0.43 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99169 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 %
33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 %
40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 %
9 % at stop avg −0.36 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, VORTEX Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +24 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on the 30M timeframe, with multiple oscillators and trend indicators aligning downward.
- Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M) support the sell signal, but higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are still bullish, so caution is advised.
- Key levels to watch: support at 0.98262 and resistance at 0.98806; a break below support would confirm the move.
- The signal is very strong (85% probability), but the conflicting higher timeframe trends mean the move could be a pullback rather than a reversal.
The AUD/CAD pair on the 30-minute timeframe is flashing a very strong bearish signal, with an 85% probability and a battery of indicators aligning: AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI CROSS Cross Down, DM CROSS Cross Down, and MOM Zero Cross Down, plus 23 additional signals. This confluence of momentum, trend, and oscillator-based signals points to a decisive shift toward the downside in the near term. The immediate trend across the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes is bearish, reinforcing the signal's relevance for short-term trading.
However, the higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are currently bullish, albeit with weak trend scores (2/5), indicating that the bearish momentum is still forming and may be part of a larger pullback within an uptrend. The 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish but choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of strong directional conviction. The nearest resistance sits at 0.98806, while support is at 0.98262. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, whereas a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the signal.
However, the higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are currently bullish, albeit with weak trend scores (2/5), indicating that the bearish momentum is still forming and may be part of a larger pullback within an uptrend. The 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish but choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of strong directional conviction. The nearest resistance sits at 0.98806, while support is at 0.98262. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, whereas a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (AROON, BOP, CMO, DI, DM, MOM) all firing in the same bearish direction.
- ▼ Trend alignment across the 15M and 30M timeframes, with both showing bearish momentum.
- ▼ Strong trend score (very_strong) and high probability (85%) suggest robust short-term bearish pressure.
- ▼ The nearest support is relatively close, providing a clear target for the move if momentum continues.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are bullish, which could cap the downside or lead to a reversal if the bullish pressure reasserts.
- ▲ The trend is still 'forming' (2/5) on most timeframes, indicating that the bearish move may lack full confirmation.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 0.98806 resistance level would invalidate the bearish signal and suggest the pullback has ended.
- ▲ The choppy/sideways nature of the 12H and 1D trends could lead to whipsaw price action, reducing reliability.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
81%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-10-21 18:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.98806 | 2026-10-21 |
| S1 | 0.98262 | 2026-10-21 |
| S2 | 0.98114 | 2026-10-20 |