AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.73 %

Entry

111.172

Target

110.361 +0.73 %

closes in profit

Stop

112.290 −1.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.85
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.20
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster has fired on the 1H chart, with multiple indicators aligning to suggest selling pressure.
The higher timeframes are mostly bullish but choppy, so the bearish signal may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
Key levels: resistance at 111.22700 and support at 110.36100; watch for a break below support to confirm the bearish move.
The 1D trend is bearish, adding longer-term context that could support a sustained decline.

The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a very strong bearish signal cluster, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, alongside two candlestick patterns: a Bearish Harami and a Tweezers Top. This confluence of momentum, volatility, and price-action indicators suggests a coordinated shift toward selling pressure in the short term. The signal's high probability and strength are supported by the alignment of these diverse indicators, which together point to a potential bearish reversal or continuation.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish and choppy/sideways, with a weak trend score of 1/5 on the 15m through 1H frames and 2/5 on the 2H and 4H frames. This indicates that the bearish signal is firing against a backdrop of bullish momentum, which could either be a sign of an impending pullback or a false start. The 1D timeframe, however, shows a bearish trend forming (2/5), adding a layer of longer-term bearish context. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.22700 and support at 110.36100; a break below support would confirm the bearish outlook, while holding above resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of six different indicators (momentum, volatility, phasor, and candlestick patterns) all pointing bearish.
▼ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability rating, suggesting high conviction in the setup.
▼ The 1D timeframe shows a bearish trend forming, aligning with the short-term bearish signal.
▼ The presence of a Tweezers Top and Bearish Harami at a potential resistance area adds to the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 8H) are bullish, albeit choppy, which could mean the bearish signal is a temporary pullback rather than a reversal.
▲ If the price holds above the resistance at 111.22700, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
▲ The choppy/sideways nature of the higher timeframes suggests low trend strength, making the signal less reliable.
▲ Fading momentum could occur if the STOCHF and BOP indicators reverse quickly, reducing the probability of a sustained move.