AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %
Entry
111.169
Target
111.386 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.807 −0.33 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, ALMA Break Up, TSI Signal Cross Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 14%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 3.24
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.78
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 2.49
▲ TEMA Break Up indicator 2.47
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.14
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.10
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.09
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.06
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 2.02
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.93
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.88
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 0.98
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.95

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish signal on the 30-minute chart, backed by a wide range of indicators, points to high-probability upward momentum in the short term.
  • The bullish trend is consistent across 15m to 4h timeframes, though still in early formation, suggesting the move is young but supported.
  • Watch the resistance at 111.20000: a clean break above it would confirm the bullish case, while a rejection could stall the move.
  • The 1-day bearish trend is a conflicting factor; monitor it for any signs of daily-level selling pressure that could override the intraday bullishness.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a dense cluster of indicator confirmations including MACD Signal Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, MA, KAMA) alongside a trendline retreat and a MAMA price breakout. This confluence suggests that momentum has shifted decisively upward on the 30-minute timeframe, with price action pushing against prior overhead levels. The trend across higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) is also bullish, though still in early 'trend forming' or 'choppy/sideways' stages, indicating that the move is supported but not yet fully mature. The 1-day timeframe shows a bearish trend, which introduces a cautionary element, but the immediate and medium-term timeframes are aligned in favor of buyers.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 111.20000 and support at 110.80700. A sustained push above resistance would confirm the bullish breakout, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. The high density of indicators, combined with the alignment across 15m through 4h, suggests that the bullish momentum is likely to continue in the short term, but traders should watch for signs of fading momentum or a reversal on the daily timeframe that could cap upside. The signal is strong, but the choppy nature of the trend across most timeframes calls for cautious execution, especially if price approaches resistance without a clear breakout.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Extreme indicator confluence: over 15 signals fired, including MACD, STOCH, WILLR, and multiple moving-average retreats, indicating strong momentum alignment.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h all bullish, with the 2h and 4h showing 'trend forming' rather than choppy, suggesting building structure.
  • ▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up and trendline retreats indicate price is actively breaking above prior levels, adding breakout momentum.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (96% probability) from the automated system, reflecting high historical accuracy for similar setups.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1-day timeframe is bearish, which could act as a ceiling; if daily momentum turns stronger, the intraday rally may be capped.
  • ▼ Most timeframes are rated 'choppy/sideways' (1/5), meaning the trend is not yet smooth; sudden pullbacks are possible.
  • ▼ Resistance at 111.20000 is nearby; if price fails to break through, the signal could lose momentum and reverse.
  • ▼ The signal is based on a single 30-minute snapshot; without confirmation on higher timeframes (like 4h or 1d), the move may be short-lived.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.20000 2026-10-21
R2 111.22700 2026-10-21
S1 110.80700 2026-10-21
S2 110.54700 2026-10-21
S3 110.36100 2026-10-20

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