AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.36 %

Entry

111.204

Target

110.807 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.762 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, Bearish Harami

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.91
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish signals are firing on the 30M chart, but higher timeframes are mostly bullish and choppy, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
The daily chart is bearish, which supports the idea that the short-term sell could be the start of a larger correction.
Watch the 110.80700 support: a break below it would confirm the bearish momentum; a reclaim of 111.22700 resistance would invalidate the signal.
Momentum is moderate (68% probability), so expect some volatility and do not over-leverage.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals: a BOP Zero Cross Down, an STOCH OB Exit, a BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. Together, these indicate a short-term shift from bullish momentum to bearish pressure, with the stochastic oscillator exiting overbought territory and the price retreating from the upper Bollinger band. The candlestick pattern confirms a potential reversal at the current level.

Across higher timeframes, the bullish trend is weak and choppy, with trend scores of 1/5 on the 15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, and 12h charts, and only a modest 2/5 on the 2h and 4h. The daily chart is bearish with a trend forming (2/5), which aligns with the short-term bearish signals. This suggests the bearish move may be the beginning of a larger correction, but the lack of strong trend alignment across timeframes limits conviction. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.22700 and support at 110.80700; a break below support would confirm the bearish bias, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals (BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, candlestick) align on the same timeframe, increasing confluence.
▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, providing a higher-timeframe tailwind for the short-term sell.
▼ The stochastic oscillator exiting overbought territory suggests room for downward movement.
▼ The retreat from the upper Bollinger band often precedes a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are bullish, albeit choppy, which could absorb the short-term bearish move.
▲ The trend strength is only moderate (68%), so the signal is not high-conviction.
▲ If the price reclaims the 111.22700 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The 30M chart is choppy, so false signals are possible; wait for a clear break of support.