AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 18:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.05 %

Entry

0.70234

Target

0.69933 +0.43 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70588 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BIAS Zero Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.30
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.22
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators align on the 30M chart, signaling strong short-term downside.
Broader timeframes (1H-12H) are bullish, so this sell signal may be counter-trend.
Watch the 0.69933 support: a break confirms bearish momentum; a hold could see a rebound.
Resistance at 0.70360 is the key invalidation level for this sell signal.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, among others. This confluence indicates a strong, immediate downside pressure in the very short term. However, the broader trend picture is mixed: while the 15-minute and 1-day timeframes are bearish, the 30-minute through 12-hour timeframes are all bullish, with the 1-hour and 2-hour showing solid trends. This suggests that the current sell signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure, or the start of a reversal that needs confirmation on higher timeframes.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70360 and support at 0.69933. A break below support would validate the bearish momentum, while a bounce off support could see the pair resume the broader uptrend. Given the strong signal strength and 100% probability, traders should respect the immediate downside but remain cautious about the conflicting higher-timeframe bullish trends. The signal is most reliable for short-term scalping, with invalidation likely if price reclaims the resistance level decisively.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 12+ bearish signals across indicator groups (candlestick, indicator) on the 30M timeframe.
▼ Strong signal strength (very_strong) and 100% probability as per the model.
▼ Bearish alignment on the 15M and 1D timeframes adds weight to the short-term downside.
▼ Proximity to resistance (0.70360) provides a clear level to defend the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30M-12H) are bullish, suggesting the sell signal could be a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ If price holds above support and reclaims resistance, the signal is invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the 30M trend flips back to bullish, as indicated by the 2/5 trend score on 30M.
▲ The signal is on a low timeframe (30M); higher-timeframe trends often dominate, so this could be noise.