EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.22 %

Entry

1.59774

Target

1.59483 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.60625 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.92
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.92
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong, multi-indicator bearish signal has fired on the 30M chart, pointing to a high-probability sell opportunity.
The bearish trend is confirmed by solid bearish trends on 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, while lower timeframes are only mildly bullish.
Watch the 1.60625 resistance as a invalidation level and the 1.59614 support as the primary downside objective.
The 15M and 30M bullishness is choppy and likely to flip, so it should not be given much weight against the larger bearish trend.

A dense cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators has fired simultaneously on the 30-minute chart, all pointing to a bearish shift in EUR/AUD. The BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-cross downs, along with the STOCHF KD cross down, collectively signal a decisive loss of upside momentum. This is reinforced by the EMA 50, KAMA, and MIDPRICE retreat downs, which confirm that the prevailing trend is now pulling price lower. The confluence of these signals at the same time and on the same timeframe elevates the probability to 95% and marks the signal as very strong.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish alignment is clear: the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts all show solid bearish trends (3/5), while the 8H is also bearish but still forming. The 15M and 30M are the only bullish timeframes, and their choppy or forming nature suggests they are likely to roll over to the downside. This means the lower-timeframe bullishness is a counter-current, but the dominant higher-timeframe trend is bearish. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.60625, which should hold as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 1.59614, which is the immediate downside target. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of momentum and trend indicators all firing downward simultaneously.
▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) show solid bearish trends, aligning with the signal direction.
▼ The signal's probability is 95% with very strong strength, indicating high confidence from the model.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.60625 is well-defined and likely to act as a ceiling, supporting the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are currently bullish, which could temporarily push price higher and delay the expected move.
▲ If price breaks above the 1.60625 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the trend could shift.
▲ The 12H and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting that the longer-term trend is not fully established, so the move could be limited in scope.
▲ Momentum signals can fade quickly; if the price stalls near support, the bearish momentum may weaken.