EUR/CAD – 1D – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-20 21:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.52 %

Entry

1.57743

Target

1.55190 +1.62 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.61385 −2.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, Williams %R Hidden Bear Div +6 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

MODERATE Position

▲ Bullish 22 % (3.93) ▼ Bearish 78 % (13.78)

model score 77.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.65
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.65
▼	Williams %R Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.55
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.34
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.10
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong SELL signal on the 1D timeframe, backed by multiple indicators and a 93% probability.
Bearish trends are solid on 2h and 4h, with higher timeframes still forming—alignment is building.
Watch the 1.61385 resistance level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Momentum on lower timeframes is choppy, so confirm any entry with price action.

The 1D timeframe has fired a very strong SELL signal with 93% probability, supported by a cluster of indicators including STOCHF KD Cross Down, ZLMA Break Down, and ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout. The bearish momentum is confirmed by solid trends on the 2h and 4h charts, while the 12h and 1D timeframes are in the early stages of forming a bearish trend. The 15m timeframe shows bullish choppy action, but with a weak trend score (1/5), it is unlikely to derail the larger bearish picture.

The confluence of divergence, indicator, and candlestick signals points to a meaningful downside move. The nearest resistance at 1.61385 acts as a critical invalidation zone; a break above it would weaken the bearish case. With no nearby support defined, the downside potential is open, but traders should watch for momentum fading on the 1h and lower timeframes, as a shift to a solid bullish trend there could signal a reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment across multiple timeframes (2h, 4h solid bearish; 12h, 1D forming bearish).
▼ Confluence of indicator groups: divergence, indicator, and candlestick signals all firing bearish.
▼ ZLMA Break Down and ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout suggest key support levels are being breached.
▼ Very high probability (93%) and very strong signal strength increase conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m timeframe is bullish and choppy, which could create short-term counter-trend moves.
▲ The nearest resistance at 1.61385 is a clear invalidation level; a close above it would negate the bearish signal.
▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1D) are only trend forming, so the bearish trend is not yet fully established.
▲ Momentum on lower timeframes is weak (1/5), so the move could stall or reverse if price consolidates.