EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 13:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.51 %

Entry

177.568

Target

177.968 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

176.660 −0.51 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, SMA 50 Retreat Up, Trendline Break Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 581 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.14
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.93
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	1.84
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.72
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.42
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.28
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.10
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.10
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.02
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.88
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	0.88
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	0.76
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.63

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on the 4H timeframe, but it runs counter to the bearish daily trend.
Momentum oscillators (RSI, CCI, CMO, BOP) all flipped bullish, confirming a short-term upside push.
Watch the 177.96800 resistance; a close above it would strengthen the case for a larger move.
Invalidation sits at the 176.66000 support; losing it would negate the bullish signal.

The EUR/JPY 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish confirmations, including a Trendline Break Up, Ascending Triangle breakout, and a battery of momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all crossing their midlines or zero lines upward. This confluence suggests a strong, broad-based shift in short-term momentum. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, with only the 15m and 30m showing early bullish formation. This creates a classic counter-trend setup: the 4H signal is firing against the prevailing daily bias, so the move is likely a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 177.96800 and support at 176.66000. A sustained close above resistance would confirm the breakout and potentially shift the higher timeframe bias, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish thesis. The signal's probability of 75% and strong strength are supported by the sheer number of aligned indicators, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends and choppy 4H action warrant caution. Traders should treat this as a tactical long with a tight invalidation level, not a trend-changing call.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline Break Up and Ascending Triangle breakout provide chart-pattern confluence.
▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all crossed upward, signaling broad-based buying pressure.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are turning bullish, hinting the move may be building from lower timeframes.
▲ Signal strength is rated 'strong' with a 75% probability, reflecting high internal consistency.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H through 1D) are bearish, so this could be a counter-trend correction that fades quickly.
▼ The 4H trend is choppy/sideways, meaning momentum may not sustain.
▼ If price fails to hold above 176.66000 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ The nearest resistance at 177.96800 is close, and a rejection there could trigger a reversal back into the larger downtrend.