GBP/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-10-21 09:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.01 %

Entry

211.814

Target

206.885 +2.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

217.464 −2.67 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +9% Position

▲ Bullish 11 % (4.42) ▼ Bearish 89 % (37.26)

model score 89.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.50
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.48
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.35
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals are firing on the 12H chart, but the broader trend is bullish—treat this as a potential pullback, not a guaranteed reversal.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 217.46400 (invalidation if broken) and support at 206.88500 (potential target).
Momentum is fading: multiple oscillators have exited overbought zones and upper bands are retreating.
The Hanging Man candle adds weight, but confirmation on lower timeframes is needed.

The GBP/JPY 12H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, ER Level Cross Up, HMA Retreat Down, and retreats from the upper bands of ACCBANDS and KELTNER, alongside a Hanging Man candlestick pattern. Together, these signals point to a loss of upward momentum and a likely shift toward lower prices. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with choppy/sideways conditions on the 15m, 2h, 8h, and 12h charts, and only trend-forming (2/5) strength on the 30m, 1h, 4h, and 1d. This suggests the bearish signal is emerging against a still-bullish backdrop, so the move may be a correction rather than a full reversal.

The confluence of multiple oscillator and volatility-based indicators exiting overbought conditions and retreating from upper bands reinforces the bearish case on the 12H timeframe. The nearest resistance at 217.46400 is a clear ceiling that, if defended, could trigger the anticipated decline. The nearest support at 206.88500 is a significant distance away, implying a wide trading range and potential for a sharp move if the bearish signal plays out. Traders should watch for confirmation on lower timeframes, as the bullish bias across the board could invalidate the signal if price breaks above resistance. The moderate strength (73% probability) leaves room for error, so risk management is essential.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple oscillators (BOP, STOCH, ULTOSC) are all moving down simultaneously, showing strong momentum loss.
▼ Upper band retreats from ACCBANDS and KELTNER indicate price is pulling back from overextended levels.
▼ A Hanging Man candlestick pattern reinforces the bearish signal with a classic reversal shape.
▼ Resistance at 217.46400 is a clear ceiling that could cap any upside and trigger the decline.

Risk Factors

▲ All timeframes from 15m to 1d are bullish, so the higher-timeframe trend is against this sell signal.
▲ If price breaks above 217.46400, the bearish setup is invalidated and the trend could resume upward.
▲ The choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes suggest low conviction, which could lead to a false signal.
▲ The wide distance to support (over 10 yen) means the move may be shallow or may stall before reaching it.