GBP/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 06:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.10 %

Entry

1.33733

Target

1.32987 +0.56 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.34094 −0.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, HMA Break Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.93
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.90
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.84
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.56
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.51
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.51
▼	SMA Break Down	indicator	2.43
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.38
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.07
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	1.93
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	1.93
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.68
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.37
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30m signal is bearish, but higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 1d) are bullish, suggesting a pullback rather than a reversal.
Watch the nearest support at 1.33595—a break below could signal a deeper correction; a hold may invalidate the short.
The bearish signal is strong on the 30m chart, but the moderate probability (67%) reflects the conflicting higher-timeframe trend.
Use tight risk management: the resistance at 1.34094 is the invalidation zone for the bearish bias.

The 30-minute GBP/USD signal is decidedly bearish, with a strong cluster of momentum and trend-based indicators—AROON Strong Downtrend, DX Trend Strong, and DEMA Retreat Down—aligning to suggest a near-term downshift. However, this short-term bearish pressure is set against a backdrop of bullish higher timeframes, where the 2h, 4h, and 1d charts all show solid uptrends. This creates a classic pullback scenario: the 30m sell signal likely represents a corrective retracement within a larger bullish structure, rather than a definitive trend reversal. The confluence of candlestick patterns and indicator breaks (EMA, KAMA, HT TRENDLINE) on the 30m timeframe adds weight to the immediate downside bias, but the bullish higher timeframes act as a strong counterforce, capping the bearish potential.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.33595 and resistance at 1.34094. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to a deeper correction, while a hold above support—especially if accompanied by bullish higher-timeframe momentum—would likely invalidate the short-term sell signal. The moderate probability (67%) reflects the tension between the strong short-term bearish signal and the conflicting bullish trend across higher timeframes. Traders should treat this as a tactical short opportunity within a larger uptrend, with tight risk management around the support level.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of momentum indicators on the 30m timeframe (AROON, DX, DEMA, EMA, KAMA) all pointing down.
▼ Multiple candlestick patterns and trendline breaks reinforce the short-term bearish signal.
▼ The 30m and 15m charts are choppy/sideways, which can allow short-term momentum to dominate.
▼ The bearish signal is recent (11:00 UTC), so it may still be playing out.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 1d) are solidly bullish, which could overwhelm the short-term bearish move.
▲ The 30m signal is a pullback within an uptrend—if support at 1.33595 holds, the short may fail quickly.
▲ The probability is only 67%, and the strength is moderate, so the signal is not high-conviction.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.34094 would invalidate the bearish thesis and likely see a resumption of the bullish trend.