NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.14 %

Entry

0.56941

Target

0.56717 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.57508 −0.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.25
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	2.01
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.96
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.62
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.62
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.49
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.48
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.14
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.07
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense set of overbought exit signals points to a high-probability short-term sell-off.
Higher timeframes are mostly bullish, so the sell signal may be a pullback within an uptrend.
Key levels: resistance at 0.56988, support at 0.56717; a break below support confirms bearish momentum.
The 1D trend is very strong bearish, adding weight to the sell signal despite intermediate bullish trends.

The 1H NZD/USD signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and RSX OB Exit, alongside over eight additional signals. This confluence points to a strong overbought condition unwinding, with multiple momentum and volatility measures aligning to the downside. The signal is rated 81% probability with strong strength, suggesting a high-confidence short-term reversal or pullback.

However, the higher-timeframe trend is predominantly bullish, with solid trends on the 4H and 12H, and a very strong bearish trend on the 1D. This creates a conflict: the 1H bearish signal may represent a corrective move within a larger bullish structure, or it could be the start of a deeper reversal if the 1D bearish trend asserts dominance. The nearest resistance at 0.56988 and support at 0.56717 define a tight range; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a hold above could see the bullish higher timeframes reassert. Traders should watch for sustained selling pressure and whether the 1H trend flips fully bearish.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, WILLR, RSX) and cross-downs (BOP, STOCHF, KDJ) align on the 1H.
▼ The 1D timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), providing macro support for downside.
▼ The signal's high probability (81%) and strong strength increase confidence in a bearish move.
▼ The cluster of +8 additional signals indicates broad-based bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H and 12H timeframes are solidly bullish, which could cap the downside and lead to a shallow pullback.
▲ The 1H trend is still bullish (2/5), so the sell signal may be early; if price holds above support, the move could fail.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.56988 would invalidate the bearish thesis and signal a resumption of the uptrend.
▲ Fading momentum on the 1H could result in a sideways consolidation rather than a sustained sell-off.