USD/CAD – 1D – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-20 21:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.26 %

Entry

1.40475

Target

1.37593 +2.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42478 −1.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Break Down, MA Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Break Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +8% Position

▲ Bullish 6 % (1.91) ▼ Bearish 94 % (32.29)

model score 17.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.84
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.79
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.76
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.69
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.65
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.60
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.31
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.66
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.42
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.15
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 1D chart, with a 97% probability, indicates high conviction in the downtrend.
Trend alignment across higher timeframes (2h to 1d) supports the bearish case, while lower timeframes are still forming.
The nearest resistance at 1.42478 is a critical level; a sustained move below it could accelerate downside toward support at 1.37593.
The break of EMA 50 and trendline signals a structural shift, not just a short-term pullback.

The USD/CAD 1D chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including STOCH KD Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, EMA 50 Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Break Down, KAMA Break Down, MA Break Down, and MAMA Cross Down, among others. The confluence of these indicators points to a strong and broad-based bearish momentum, with the trend score at 97% and very strong strength. The alignment across timeframes is notable: while the shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still forming their trends, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) all show solid to very strong bearish trends, with the 2h and 4h at 4/5. This suggests that the selling pressure is well-established and likely to persist.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.42478, which has likely been broken and now acts as a potential ceiling, and the nearest support at 1.37593, which is the next major downside target. The break of the EMA 50 and the trendline highlight that the medium-term structure has shifted bearish, and the MAMA Cross Down confirms a bearish crossover in momentum. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels, as a sustained move below the resistance could open the path toward support, while a failure to hold below resistance might signal a false breakdown.

Catalysts

▼ High probability (97%) and very strong strength of the signal cluster.
▼ Multiple indicator types (STOCH, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) all aligning bearish, providing confluence.
▼ Strong bearish trend scores on 2h and 4h timeframes (4/5) indicate solid momentum.
▼ Break of key technical levels (EMA 50, trendline) confirms a regime change.

Risk Factors

▲ If price fails to stay below the broken resistance at 1.42478 and reclaims it, the bearish thesis is weakened.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are choppy and sideways, suggesting short-term consolidation could delay the move.
▲ A bounce from the support at 1.37593 could lead to a range-bound condition, reducing the probability of a sustained downtrend.
▲ Watch for any bullish reversal signals on the 1D or higher timeframes that could invalidate the bearish setup.