USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.28 %
Entry
1.40564
Target
1.40079 +0.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.42223 −1.18 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 75%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.22
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.14
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.10
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.10

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 1H with multiple indicators aligning downward.
  • Most timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.40323; a break confirms the move.
  • The 1H bullish trend is a counter-signal; monitor price action near resistance.
The 1H USD/CAD signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength. A cluster of zero-cross and midline-cross indicators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all fired downward simultaneously, alongside a candlestick pattern and additional indicators. This confluence suggests a powerful shift in momentum and a likely continuation of the bearish trend.

Trend alignment is mostly supportive: while the 1H timeframe shows a bullish trend (a potential conflict), the 2H, 4H, and 12H timeframes all show strong or solid bearish trends, and the 15m and 30m are forming bearish trends. The nearest resistance at 1.40677 is likely to be tested, but the immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.40323. A break below this support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a failure to break could signal a pullback. The overall multi-timeframe bearish structure, despite the 1H bullish trend, suggests the sell signal is likely to play out.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multi-timeframe trend alignment: 2H and 4H show very strong bearish trends.
  • ▼ Confluence of 13+ indicators all firing bearish simultaneously.
  • ▼ Zero-cross and midline crosses indicate a clear shift in momentum.
  • ▼ Support at 1.40323 is close, providing a clear level to break.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1H timeframe shows a bullish trend, which could offset the bearish signal.
  • ▲ If price fails to break support at 1.40323, the signal may lose momentum.
  • ▲ Nearby resistance at 1.40677 could act as a pivot if price reverses.
  • ▲ Watch for a potential bounce from support, invalidating the bearish thesis.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 75%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40677 2026-10-21
R2 1.42223 2026-10-15
R3 1.43000 2026-10-14
S1 1.40323 2026-10-20

Tags

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