USD/CHF – 30M – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 05:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.20 %

Entry

0.82570

Target

0.82721 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82403 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, T3 Break Up, SMA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	1.96
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.64
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.48
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.34
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.17
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.12

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30M signal is strongly bullish, but higher timeframes are bearish, so expect a counter-trend bounce.
Key levels: resistance at 0.82636, support at 0.82403. A break above resistance confirms; a break below support invalidates.
The cluster of momentum and moving average signals points to short-term upside, but the choppy, sideways trend scores (1/5) suggest low conviction.
Watch for a potential failure at resistance, as the broader downtrend may resume.

The USD/CHF 30M signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum indicators—AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA) plus a T3 Break Up—suggesting the recent downtrend is exhausting and a bounce is underway. However, the broader trend context is mixed: the 15m and 1h timeframes are bullish, but the 30m itself is bearish, and the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) all remain bearish, with choppy, sideways action dominating. This creates a conflicting picture where the short-term momentum is trying to turn, but the larger trend is not yet supportive.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.82636 and support at 0.82403. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. Given the strong probability (75%) and strong strength, the signal suggests a tradable bounce, but traders should be cautious given the higher timeframe bearishness. The choppy, sideways conditions on most timeframes indicate low conviction, so the move may be limited.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (AROON, AROONOSC) crossing down from overbought levels indicates a reversal from the recent down move.
▲ The T3 Break Up and moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA) all align to signal a bullish push.
▲ The 15m and 1h timeframes are already bullish, providing some short-term alignment.
▲ Strong probability (75%) and strength (strong) increase confidence in the signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bearish, so the bullish move may be a mere correction within a larger downtrend.
▼ The 30M timeframe itself is bearish, conflicting with the signal's direction.
▼ Choppy, sideways conditions (trend score 1/5) on most timeframes indicate weak trend conviction, which could lead to a false breakout.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 0.82636, the bullish momentum could fade quickly.