USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.07 %
Entry
0.82490
Target
0.82224 +0.32 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82700 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, Triple Top, HMA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 11%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Double Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 3.07
▼ Triple Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 2.61
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.76
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.74
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.68
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.55
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.47
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.14
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.14
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.03
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.96
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.79
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.78

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals (Double Top, Triple Top, zero-cross and midline crosses) align on the 30M timeframe, suggesting a high-probability sell setup.
  • The broader trend is bearish across 2H, 4H, 8H, and 1D, with the 4H showing a solid trend, supporting the short-term bearish bias.
  • Key levels to watch: support at 0.82403 and resistance at 0.82636; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would signal invalidation.
  • The choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) indicates the market may be consolidating, so patience is needed for a clean breakout.
The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Double Top and Triple Top patterns, multiple zero-cross and midline-cross indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHRSI), and retreats from both the EMA 200 and SMA 200. The confluence of these signals, spanning chart patterns, indicators, and Fibonacci-related groups, points to a strong short-term bearish push. The 86% probability and 'very strong' strength rating underscore the conviction behind the setup.

Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bearish, with the 4-hour and 8-hour charts showing a solid or forming downtrend, while the 1-day chart is also bearish but choppy. The 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are technically labeled bullish but with choppy/sideways action, indicating they are not in conflict with the bearish signal—they are simply lacking a clear trend. The nearest resistance at 0.82636 and support at 0.82403 define the immediate range; a break below support could extend the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of multiple pattern and indicator signals on the 30M chart, including Double Top and Triple Top, which are classic reversal patterns.
  • ▼ The 4H timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), providing a higher-timeframe alignment that supports the sell signal.
  • ▼ The 8H and 1D timeframes are also bearish (trend forming), reinforcing the overall bearish bias.
  • ▼ The EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreats signal that the medium-term moving averages are turning lower, adding weight to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 30M and 1H timeframes are labeled bullish (though choppy), which could indicate a short-term bounce that might delay the bearish move.
  • ▲ The choppy/sideways trend scores (1/5) on several timeframes suggest low trend clarity, so the signal could fade if the market consolidates further.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 0.82636, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and the signal would lose its edge.
  • ▲ The high probability (86%) may lead to overconfidence; however, the lack of a strong trend on the 15M and 30M timeframes means momentum is not yet confirmed.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 11%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82636 2026-10-21
R2 0.82700 2026-10-20
R3 0.82704 2026-10-19
S1 0.82403 2026-10-21
S2 0.82224 2026-10-20
S3 0.82178 2026-10-16

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