AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.04 %
Entry
0.98436
Target
0.98878 +0.45 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98114 −0.33 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), RSI OS Exit +9 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
Loading…
Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 93%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.99
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.30
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 2.26
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 2.10
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.90
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.69
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.66
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.57
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.17
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.73

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of oversold-exit and momentum indicators has fired on the 30M, suggesting a strong short-term bounce is underway.
  • The broader trend across most timeframes is bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend rally rather than a full reversal.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.98878; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure would confirm the bearish trend.
  • Keep a tight stop below the nearest support at 0.98262, as a break there would invalidate the bullish signal.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-turn indicators, including RSI, STOCH, WILLR, and a BOP zero-cross, all converging with a Trendline Break Up and an HMA Retreat Up. The simultaneous STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and ACCBANDS lower retreat add further confirmation that downside pressure is exhausting at the current price zone. However, the broader timeframe picture remains predominantly bearish, with the 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 8h, and 12h all showing bearish trends, albeit with weaker conviction on the higher timeframes. The 4h is the only bullish reading and it is choppy/sideways, suggesting the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend correction rather than a full reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.98878 sits just above the current price and will be the first major test; a break above it would lend credibility to the move, while failure to hold above support at 0.98262 would invalidate the bullish setup.

Traders should view this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish structure. The very strong probability and dense signal cluster argue for a sharp, mean-reversion bounce, but the alignment of higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 8h, 12h) against the move means upside is likely limited. The 4h bullish reading, though weak, does offer a glimmer of higher-timeframe support, but it is not enough to override the bearish consensus. The key is to treat this as a scalp trade: enter on confirmation above the breakout level, target the resistance, and keep a tight stop below the recent lows. If the price fails to clear 0.98878 or rolls over quickly, the bearish trend reasserts itself.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (RSI, STOCH, WILLR) confirm exhausted downside momentum.
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up and HMA Retreat Up add structural confirmation of a bullish turn.
  • ▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and ACCBANDS lower retreat align to reinforce the momentum shift.
  • ▲ The 4h timeframe shows a bullish (though choppy) reading, offering a sliver of higher-timeframe support.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The overwhelming bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 8h, and 12h argues against a sustained move higher.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.98878 is close overhead and could cap the rally.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 0.98262, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend resumes.
  • ▼ The 4h bullish reading is weak and choppy, providing little reliable higher-timeframe confirmation.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 93%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98878 2026-10-21
S1 0.98262 2026-10-21
S2 0.98114 2026-10-20

Tags

Similar Signals