AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 03:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.25 %

Entry

0.98446

Target

0.98114 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98878 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	3.07
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.91
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.97
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 30M with 94% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, trendline, KAMA, MA) confirm price pulling back.
Trend is bearish across most timeframes, but 4H is bullish and choppy, adding caution.
Key levels: resistance at 0.98878, support at 0.98262; watch for break below support.

The 30-minute AUD/CAD signal is strongly bearish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators. The STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a short-term upward stochastic pulse, but this is immediately countered by the STOCHF KD Cross Down, indicating a bearish fast stochastic crossover. The cluster of retreat signals—DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, and MAMA PRICE—all point to price pulling back from recent highs, reinforcing the bearish bias. The trend alignment across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 2h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all showing bearish trends, though the 4h timeframe is bullish and choppy, adding a note of caution. The nearest resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98262 define the immediate trading range; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Traders should view this as a high-probability short-term sell signal within a broader bearish context, but the mixed higher timeframe (4h bullish) and the choppy/sideways trends on the 12h and 1d suggest that the move may be part of a larger consolidation. The strength of the signal is supported by the multiple retreat signals and the consistency across several timeframes, yet the bullish 4h trend and the presence of a 'trend forming' status on many timeframes indicate that the bearish trend is still developing and could face resistance. Key levels are critical: a sustained move below 0.98262 would likely accelerate selling, while a bounce off support could lead to a reversal. Watch for any shift in the 4h trend or a failure to hold below the support level.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) all pointing to downward momentum.
▼ Trend alignment across 30M, 1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all bearish, supporting the signal.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability (94%) increase confidence.
▼ The STOCHF KD Cross Down confirms bearish momentum despite the STOCH KD Cross Up.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H timeframe is bullish and choppy, which could counter the bearish move.
▲ Trends on several timeframes are 'trend forming' (2/5) or 'choppy/sideways' (1/5), indicating weak trend conviction.
▲ If price holds above support at 0.98262 and reclaims resistance at 0.98878, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a short-term upward pulse that could temporarily stall the decline.