AUD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 01:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.36 %

Entry

0.98472

Target

0.98114 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99664 −1.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Saucer Bearish, SAR Flip Bearish, CMO Zero Cross Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	2.04
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.62
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.58
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.23
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.99
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.89
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.53

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal on the 4H, backed by a broad set of indicators crossing down simultaneously.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are solidly bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy, so expect possible sideways action.
Watch the 0.98114 support: a break below would confirm the downtrend; a move above 0.99664 resistance would invalidate the signal.

The AUD/CAD 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish crossovers across a wide array of momentum and volatility indicators, including BOP, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, RSI, and BBANDS, all crossing below their midlines or zero levels. This synchronized downward push, combined with the EMA 200 retreat, indicates a strong, broad-based bearish shift in the 4H timeframe. The signal probability of 94% and very strong strength reflect the high confluence of these independent measures, reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside pressure.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the trend is choppy or sideways on the 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D charts, suggesting the move is not yet a clean, established trend. The 15m and 30m show solid bearish trends, and the 1H and 8H are forming, which supports near-term continuation but warns of potential consolidation. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.99664 and support at 0.98114. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of over a dozen indicators all firing bearish crossovers, including RSI and CCI midlines.
▼ EMA 200 retreat adds a longer-term bearish context to the 4H move.
▼ Consistent bearish alignment across all timeframes, even if some are choppy, shows no conflicting bullish pressure.
▼ Very strong signal strength and 94% probability reflect robust technical support.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) show choppy/sideways trends, which may lead to consolidation or a pullback.
▲ A close above the 0.99664 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ If momentum fades and the RSI and CCI recover above their midlines, the bearish case weakens.
▲ The signal is based on 4H data; without confirmation on higher timeframes, the move may be a correction rather than a new trend.