AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.72 %
Entry
111.160
Target
111.592 +0.39 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.361 −0.72 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 1h 15%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.53
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.43
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.43
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.39
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.75
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.72
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.40
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.34
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.24
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.20
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 0.87
▲ Tweezers Bottom candlestick 0.74

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 1H with 90% probability, driven by a broad set of momentum and trend indicators.
  • Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bullish, but lower timeframes (15m-1H) remain bearish—watch for a shift.
  • Key resistance at 111.22700; a break above confirms the move, while support at 110.36100 is the invalidation level.
  • The signal is very strong, but the mixed trend across timeframes warrants caution.
The 1H AUD/JPY signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 90% probability and very strong strength. It was triggered by a broad confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, alongside multiple retreat-up signals (EMA 50, KAMA, MA, MIDPRICE) and additional candlestick and indicator confirmations. This suggests a coordinated shift in buying pressure and a potential reversal from the prevailing bearish bias on the lower timeframes.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is bullish from 2H up to 12H, with the 2H and 4H showing trend-forming momentum. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bearish or choppy/sideways, and the 1D is bearish. This creates a mixed picture: the immediate trend is still bearish, but the higher-timeframe alignment supports a bullish breakout. The nearest resistance at 111.22700 is a key level to watch; a decisive break above it would confirm the bullish signal. Conversely, the nearest support at 110.36100 is the invalidation zone—if price falls below this, the bullish thesis is negated.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH) all crossing zero upward.
  • ▲ Retreat-up signals from EMA 50, KAMA, MA, and MIDPRICE indicate a coordinated pullback in trend-following measures.
  • ▲ Higher timeframe bullish alignment (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) supports the 1H signal.
  • ▲ Strong trend scores and high probability (90%) reinforce the bullish outlook.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bearish or choppy, which could cap upside momentum.
  • ▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish, suggesting a longer-term downtrend that may resist the bullish move.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 111.22700, the signal could fade.
  • ▼ A drop below the nearest support at 110.36100 would invalidate the bullish signal.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 15%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.22700 2026-10-21
S1 110.36100 2026-10-20
S2 109.62800 2026-10-16
S3 108.63400 2026-10-15

Tags

Similar Signals