AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.25 %
Entry
110.638
Target
111.261 +0.56 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.361 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ADX Trend Strong, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 581 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 30m 4%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 2.24
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.07
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.90
▼ SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 1.86
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.83
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.81
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.72
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.25

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish signal fires on the 30-minute chart, driven by multiple oversold-exit and momentum indicators.
  • Higher timeframes (4h-12h) are bullish but choppy, while lower timeframes remain bearish—so the signal may be a counter-trend bounce.
  • Watch the 111.26100 resistance and 110.54700 support; a break of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • The SMA 20/50 Death Cross within the signal is a caution flag against the bullish momentum.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal fires a very strong bullish alert (91% probability) as a cluster of oversold-exit and momentum indicators align: RSI, WILLR, and KDJ all exit oversold territory, while BOP crosses zero upward and STOCHRSI confirms a bullish K-D cross. The ADX trend strength reading supports a developing move, and the SMA 200 retreat upward adds a layer of trend confirmation. However, the signal includes a notable SMA 20/50 Death Cross, which typically flags short-term bearish momentum; this creates a mixed picture that needs to be reconciled with the broader timeframe structure.

Across timeframes, the picture is fragmented: lower timeframes (15m-2h) are predominantly bearish, while higher timeframes (4h-12h) are bullish but choppy or only trend-forming. The 1-day view is bearish and trend-forming. This suggests the 30-minute bullish signal may represent a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish bias, or the early stage of a reversal that has yet to propagate upward. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.26100 and support at 110.54700; a sustained move above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a break below support would invalidate it.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (RSI, WILLR, KDJ) align, suggesting a strong bounce from oversold conditions.
  • ▲ BOP zero cross upward and STOCHRSI K-D cross up confirm bullish momentum shift.
  • ▲ ADX trend strength supports the move, and the SMA 200 retreat upward indicates higher-timeframe trend support.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4h-12h) are bullish, providing potential tailwind if the move can build.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The SMA 20/50 Death Cross within the signal indicates short-term bearish momentum that could cap the bounce.
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish, which may pull the 30-minute move back down.
  • ▼ The 1-day timeframe is bearish and trend-forming, suggesting a larger bearish bias that could dominate.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the 110.54700 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.26100 2026-10-21
S1 110.54700 2026-10-21
S2 110.36100 2026-10-20
S3 109.62800 2026-10-16

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