AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 02:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.26 %

Entry

110.832

Target

110.547 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.261 −0.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, Triple Top, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.81
▼	Triple Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.49
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.48
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.15
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.01
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.94
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.29
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.18
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.14
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.00
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple retreat patterns and double/triple tops align on the 30M, signaling a strong bearish rejection near 111.26100.
The 15M and 2H trends are bearish, but 4H and above are bullish, so the signal is best for short-term trades.
Watch the 110.80700 support: a break could extend the move, while a hold may lead to consolidation.
A close above 111.26100 would invalidate the bearish signal and require immediate reassessment.

The AUD/JPY 30M signal is strongly bearish, firing a dense cluster of 19 overlapping signals led by Double Top and Triple Top formations, multiple moving-average retreat patterns (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA), and a trendline retreat. This confluence across chart patterns, indicators, and Fibonacci levels points to a well-defined rejection of higher prices, with the nearest resistance at 111.26100 acting as a key pivot. The 15M timeframe confirms a solid bearish trend, and although the 30M and 1H trends are choppy, the alignment of the 2H and 1D bearish trends supports the lower-timeframe signal.

However, the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes remain bullish, creating a conflict that tempers the signal's conviction. The very strong probability (93%) is driven by the sheer number of retreat signals and pattern confirmation, but the choppy nature of the 30M and 1H trends suggests the move may be part of a larger corrective phase. Key levels to watch are the resistance at 111.26100—a break above would invalidate the bearish setup—and support at 110.80700, which if broken could accelerate downside momentum. Traders should treat this as a tactical short-term opportunity rather than a multi-day trend shift, and monitor the higher timeframes for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 19 signals including Double Top, Triple Top, and multiple moving-average retreats.
▼ Bearish alignment across 15M, 30M, 2H, and 1D timeframes supports the short-term direction.
▼ Trendline retreat and Fibonacci levels add confluence, reinforcing the rejection at resistance.
▼ Very strong signal strength (93%) indicates high conviction from the model.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, which could pull price back up and invalidate the bearish move.
▲ The 30M and 1H trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting the move may lack momentum and could stall.
▲ A break above 111.26100 (nearest resistance) would invalidate the pattern and signal a false breakdown.
▲ If support at 110.80700 holds, the downside may be limited, leading to a range-bound scenario.