AUD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-10-21 21:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.30 %

Entry

110.680

Target

108.634 +1.85 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.133 −0.41 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DI CROSS Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +16% Swing

▲ Bullish 7 % (3.85) ▼ Bearish 93 % (47.89)

model score 13.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.84
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.84
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.80
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.47
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.28
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.26

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal with 87% probability and very strong strength on the 8H timeframe.
Multiple indicators align: BOP, CCI, DI, DM, STOCHF, WILLR, EMA 200, and ER all point down.
Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bearish, supporting the sell direction, but 12H is a conflicting bullish.
Key levels: resistance at 111.13300, support at 108.63400; watch for a break of support.

The AUD/JPY 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Down, and ER Level Cross Down, among others. This confluence suggests a strong bearish push from overbought conditions and momentum breakdown. The trend across lower timeframes (15m to 4h) is consistently bearish, though trend strength is moderate (2/5) on most, indicating a developing downtrend. The 8H itself is choppy/sideways, but the signal's high probability (87%) and very strong strength imply a high-confidence setup.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.13300 and support at 108.63400. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while holding above resistance would invalidate the setup. The 12H timeframe shows a conflicting bullish bias, which could slow the bearish move, but the overall alignment across the majority of timeframes supports the sell direction. Traders should monitor the 8H trend for a shift from choppy to solid bearish, and watch for any bounce at support that could signal a reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight+ bearish signals from both candlestick and indicator groups.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across five lower timeframes (15m to 4h).
▼ Overbought exit signals (CCI, WILLR) suggest momentum is fading from highs.
▼ EMA 200 retreat and ER level cross down indicate trend structure weakening.

Risk Factors

▲ 12H timeframe is bullish, which could counter the bearish pressure.
▲ 8H trend is choppy/sideways, so the bearish move may lack strong trend support.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 111.13300, the signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the lower timeframe trends lose strength (currently only 2/5).