AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 23:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.24 %

Entry

0.70287

Target

0.70552 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69707 −0.83 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.03
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.12
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.03
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful 1H bullish signal with 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a rare confluence of crossovers and retreat patterns.
Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are bullish, supporting the move, but the 1H itself is still forming bearish — watch for confirmation.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70360, support at 0.69707. A break above resistance confirms; a drop below support invalidates.
The 1D bearish trend is a risk — this could be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

The AUD/USD 1H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish crossovers and retreat patterns, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, BBANDS MIDDLE, EMA 50, and KAMA, all aligning on the 1H timeframe. This confluence suggests a broad-based momentum shift, with multiple indicators confirming a transition from bearish pressure to buying interest. The probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating exceptional alignment across the indicator suite.

Across higher timeframes, the 2H, 4H, and 8H charts are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop, while the 1H itself is still forming a bearish trend (2/5) — this is a classic counter-trend setup where the lower timeframe is turning against the higher timeframe's direction. The nearest resistance at 0.70360 and support at 0.69707 define the immediate battle zone. A sustained push above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. The 1D bearish trend (3/5) remains a cautionary overlay, suggesting the larger picture is still negative.

Catalysts

▲ Exceptional alignment of multiple indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, BBANDS, EMA, KAMA) all firing bullish simultaneously.
▲ Higher timeframe support: 2H, 4H, and 8H are all bullish, providing a favorable macro backdrop.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability indicate high confidence in the momentum shift.
▲ The cluster of crossovers suggests a clear inflection point, with momentum indicators (MOM, ROC) all turning up.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H trend is still bearish (2/5) — the signal is counter-trend on its own timeframe; momentum could fade if price fails to hold above the EMA or KAMA retreat levels.
▼ The 1D bearish trend (3/5) is a significant opposing force; a larger downtrend could overpower the bullish impulse.
▼ Nearest resistance at 0.70360 is a nearby barrier; if price stalls there, the signal may fail to play out.
▼ Watch the support at 0.69707 — a break below would invalidate the signal and likely resume the bearish trend.