AUD/USD – 1H – SELL
SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal
Closed after the holding time · result −0.06 %
Entry
0.70157
Target
0.69707 +0.64 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70360 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 %
37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 %
36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 %
12 % at stop avg −0.39 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, AROON Cross Down +29 more
Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong 1H bearish signal with 95% probability and very strong strength, backed by multiple momentum indicators.
- Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are still bullish, creating a conflict that may limit downside or cause a bounce.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.70360 and support at 0.69707; a break below support would confirm, reclaim of resistance would invalidate.
- The 1D trend is bearish, providing a longer-term bearish backdrop, but the 15m/30m are choppy, so timing may be tricky.
The 1H AUD/USD signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad confluence of momentum and trend indicators. AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend confirm a shift to lower momentum, while AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP, CCI, CMO, and DI/DM Cross Downs all align to show selling pressure. The signal is supported by a candlestick group, suggesting price action is confirming the bearish momentum. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which creates a conflict; the 1H trend is just forming, while the 15m and 30m are choppy and sideways, indicating the bearish move may be early and not yet fully established across the board.
The immediate levels to watch are resistance at 0.70360 and support at 0.69707. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The 1D timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, which adds a longer-term bearish backdrop, but the intermediate bullish timeframes could provide a bounce. Traders should treat this as a high-probability short-term sell signal, but be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trends. If the 1H bearish trend strengthens and the 2H/4H turn bearish, the signal would gain further confirmation; otherwise, a pullback toward resistance is possible.
The immediate levels to watch are resistance at 0.70360 and support at 0.69707. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The 1D timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, which adds a longer-term bearish backdrop, but the intermediate bullish timeframes could provide a bounce. Traders should treat this as a high-probability short-term sell signal, but be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trends. If the 1H bearish trend strengthens and the 2H/4H turn bearish, the signal would gain further confirmation; otherwise, a pullback toward resistance is possible.
Catalysts
- ▼ Broad confluence of indicators: AROON, BOP, CCI, CMO, DI/DM all crossing down, plus candlestick patterns.
- ▼ 1H trend is forming (2/5) and 1D is solid bearish (3/5), supporting a bearish bias.
- ▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' and probability is 95%, indicating high conviction in the short-term.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are bullish, which could pull price back up or stall the bearish move.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m are choppy/sideways, suggesting the bearish momentum may not be sustained in the very short term.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 0.70360 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ The 1H trend is only just forming (2/5), so it may be early; a false start is possible.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
16%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-22 01:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70360 | 2026-10-21 |
| S1 | 0.69707 | 2026-10-20 |
| S2 | 0.69363 | 2026-10-16 |
| S3 | 0.68941 | 2026-10-15 |