AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.10 %
Entry
0.70133
Target
0.70365 +0.33 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69933 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, MIDPOINT Break Up, ALMA Break Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 95 % (85.60) ▼ Bearish 5 % (4.13)
model score 95.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.9 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 550 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 95%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.80
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.69
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.58
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 2.55
▲ MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.52
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.41
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.19
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.02
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.90
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.88
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.86
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.72
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.57
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 1.00

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong short-term bullish signal cluster on the 30M chart, but higher timeframes are mostly bearish.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.70228, support at 0.70073; a break above resistance could signal further upside.
  • The 1D timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, so treat this as a potential countertrend move.
  • Watch for confirmation on the 1H/2H timeframes; a failure to hold support invalidates the bullish setup.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a CCI Zero Cross Up, DEMA Break Up, and a series of price breakouts (MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) alongside a BBANDS Middle Cross Up and EMA 200 Retreat Up. This confluence suggests strong short-term buying momentum, with the 93% probability and very strong strength reflecting broad alignment across indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups. However, the higher timeframes are mostly bearish or choppy, with only the 4H, 8H, and 12H showing bullish but weak trend formation. The 1D timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, which poses a significant counterweight. The immediate levels to watch are resistance at 0.70228 and support at 0.70073; a break above resistance could extend the move, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.

The bullish signals are primarily a short-term phenomenon, as the 15M, 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes show choppy or bearish conditions, with only the 30M currently flipping to bullish. The alignment of multiple breakout signals on the 30M chart suggests a potential reversal attempt, but the lack of higher-timeframe confirmation means this could be a countertrend move. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish context, using the 0.70073 support as a hard invalidation level. If price fails to hold above support or stalls at resistance, the bullish case weakens quickly. Monitoring the 1H and 2H timeframes for a shift toward bullish would increase confidence, but until then, caution is advised.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish breakouts (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) and CCI Zero Cross Up show strong momentum.
  • ▲ BBANDS Middle Cross Up and EMA 200 Retreat Up add trend-following confluence.
  • ▲ Probability of 93% and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the signal.
  • ▲ Support at 0.70073 is nearby, providing a clear level to defend.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ The 15M and 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 0.70228, the bullish momentum may fade.
  • ▼ A drop below 0.70073 would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a bearish continuation.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70228 2026-10-22
R2 0.70365 2026-10-22
S1 0.70073 2026-10-22
S2 0.69933 2026-10-21
S3 0.69829 2026-10-20

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