AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 03:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.32 %

Entry

0.70170

Target

0.69933 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70360 −0.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Rising Wedge, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Rising Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.64
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.42
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30m timeframe, supported by a Rising Wedge and multiple indicators.
Mixed trend across timeframes: short-term bearish, but higher timeframes bullish—conflict to monitor.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70360, support at 0.69933; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum.
Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) may lead to a short-term bounce, but the overall bearish bias remains.

The AUD/USD 30-minute signal is strongly bearish (85% probability, very strong), driven by a Rising Wedge chart pattern and multiple indicator confirmations. The Rising Wedge suggests a potential downside break, while the ADXR Trend Weak indicates fading trend strength, and the BOP Zero Cross Down reflects selling pressure. The STOCH KD Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Down show conflicting momentum signals, but the WILLR OS Entry and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up suggest oversold conditions and a possible pullback. The DEMA Retreat Down further confirms bearish momentum.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish but choppy, while higher timeframes (2h-12h) are bullish, creating a conflict. The daily timeframe is bearish and solid, which aligns with the short-term bearish signal. The nearest resistance at 0.70360 and support at 0.69933 are key levels; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support could invalidate the signal. Traders should watch for a close below support or a failure to break resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Rising Wedge pattern suggests a potential downside break.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and DEMA Retreat Down confirm selling pressure.
▼ Daily timeframe is bearish and solid, aligning with the short-term signal.
▼ Strong signal probability (85%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h-12h) are bullish, which could counteract the bearish move.
▲ Conflicting momentum signals (STOCH KD Cross Up vs. STOCHF KD Cross Down) may lead to choppy price action.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) could trigger a bounce, invalidating the signal if support holds.
▲ Watch the 0.69933 support; a break below it would confirm bearish momentum, while a bounce could invalidate.